Zach Reese vs. Michel Pereira Predictions and Odds for UFC Houston on 02/21/2026

• Zach Reese vs Michel Pereira: UFC Showdown
• Location: UFC Houston
• Venue: Toyota Center, Houston, TX
• Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026

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On February 21, 2026, Zach Reese will battle Michel Pereira at UFC Houston. The opening odds show Reese at +135, while Pereira stands at -155.

Zach “Savage” Reese enters this match with a record of 10 wins, 2 losses, and 0 draws (1 NC). At 31 years old, he fights in the middleweight category, weighing 185 lbs, and has a height of 6’4″ with a wingspan of 77″. Michel “Demolidor” Pereira, also fighting at 185 lbs, is 6’1″ tall and has a record of 31 wins, 14 losses, and 0 draws (2 NC) at the age of 32, with a reach of 73″. In terms of significant strikes, Reese averages 4.32 landed per minute, while Pereira connects on 4.49 per minute. Reese lands 56% of his strikes, whereas Pereira hits 52%. Defensively, Reese absorbs 3.82 significant strikes per minute, while Pereira allows 4.35. Reese defends against 39% of significant strikes, while Pereira successfully deflects 51% of incoming shots.

In terms of grappling skills, Zach Reese showcases superior wrestling, achieving 3.41 takedowns per 15 minutes with a success rate of 66%, while defending against 57% of takedown attempts. Pereira, on the other hand, completes his takedowns 52% of the time and stops 76% of adversary attempts. Regarding submission attempts, Reese averages 1.4 submissions per 15 minutes, whereas Pereira averages 0.7.

In his last fight, Zach Reese faced Jackson McVey, winning via rear-naked choke in the second round. McVey landed 68 out of 86 strikes attempted, resulting in a connection rate of 76%. In contrast, Reese landed an impressive 81 of 97 strikes. Specifically, Reese achieved 76% accuracy with significant strikes, connecting 32 out of 42 attempted strikes. McVey managed 28 out of 39 significant strikes to the head, with 16% of McVey’s and 46% of Reese’s significant strikes landing from a distance.

Michel Pereira’s last fight saw him pitted against Kyle Daukaus, where he suffered a loss due to an elbow strike in round 1. Daukaus had a striking accuracy of 20% from a distance, while Pereira executed 100% accuracy within the same distance. He successfully landed 2 of 4 significant strikes but connected on 0 out of 1 significant strike aimed at the head. In total strikes thrown, Daukaus achieved 7 out of 12 with Pereira landing 2 out of 4.

Additional Fights to Keep an Eye On

Another match to anticipate features Chidi Njokuani going against Carlos Leal. Njokuani comes into the ring with a record of 25-11-0 (1 NC). At 37 years old, he weighs 170 lbs and stands 6’3″. With a reach of 80″, he presents a formidable challenge. Leal, measuring in at 5’11” and also 170 lbs, boasts a record of 22-7-0 at 31 years old, with a reach of 74″. When assessing their grappling skills, Njokuani averages 0.50 takedowns per 3 rounds, while Leal achieves 0.75. In striking, Njokuani lands 4.72 strikes per minute with a 62% accuracy, while Leal connects 50% of his strikes and lands 9.57 strikes per minute.

For fans of thrilling bouts, don’t miss the matchup between Alibi Idiris and Ode Osbourne. Osbourne, with a record of 13-9-0 (1 NC), weighs in at 125 lbs, stands 5’7″, and fights left-handed with a reach of 73″. Idiris, at 5’6″ and 125 lbs, has an impressive record of 11-1-0, reaching 68″. In takedown defense, Osbourne successfully defends against 66% of attempts and lands takedowns 30% of the time. Conversely, Idiris completes takedowns 15% of the time and fends off 60% of adversary attempts. In terms of striking, Osbourne absorbs 3.43 strikes/min and lands 3.07, while Idiris takes 3.60 strikes/min while landing 3.47.

Who will emerge victorious in this explosive UFC matchup?

Prediction: Bet on Zach Reese (+135)