Nikita Krylov vs Bogdan Guskov
UFC Abu Dhabi Showdown
Venue: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi
Event Date: Saturday, July 26, 2025
Nikita Krylov is set to face Bogdan Guskov at UFC Abu Dhabi on Saturday, July 26, 2025. The initial betting odds place Krylov at -190, while Guskov is sitting at +165.
Asu “Zulfikar” Almabayev enters the octagon with an impressive record of 30-10-0. The 33-year-old fighter, competing at 205 lbs, stands at 6’3″ tall with a reach of 77″. His opponent, Ramazan “Temurlan” Temirov, also stands 6’3″ and weighs in at 205 lbs, aiming to improve his record of 17-3-0. The 32-year-old possesses a reach of 76″. In terms of striking statistics, Krylov averages 4.33 significant strikes landed per minute, whereas Guskov achieves 3.96. Krylov has a striking accuracy of 54%, marginally behind Guskov’s 55%. Defensively, Krylov absorbs 2.49 significant strikes each minute, while Guskov allows 3.22 strikes. Krylov manages to defend against 44% of the strikes thrown his way, while Guskov deflects 43% of incoming attacks.
| UFC Abu Dhabi | Nikita Krylov | Bogdan Guskov |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -190 | +165 |
| Fighter Record | 30-10-0 | 17-3-0 |
| Average Fight Duration | 6:41 | 6:03 |
| Height | 6’3″ | 6’3″ |
| Weight Class | 205 lbs | 205 lbs |
| Reach Advantage | 77″ | 76″ |
| Strikes Landed/Minute | 4.33 | 3.96 |
| Striking Efficiency | 54% | 55% |
In terms of grappling, Nikita Krylov exhibits superior wrestling skills, with an average of 2.24 takedowns per 15 minutes and a success rate of 38%. He successfully defends against 53% of the takedowns against him. Conversely, Guskov completes takedowns on 15% of his attempts and has a takedown defense rate of 57%. In submission attempts, Krylov averages 1.4 submissions every three rounds, while Guskov averages 1.2 submissions per 15 minutes.
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In his last fight, Nikita Krylov faced Dominick Reyes and suffered a defeat due to a head punch in the first round. Reyes successfully landed 8 out of 17 total strikes, while Krylov managed to connect on only 4 out of 22. In significant strikes, Reyes achieved a striking accuracy of 47%, with 5 out of his 14 significant strikes targeting the head. Meanwhile, Krylov’s striking accuracy was only 18%, landing 3 out of 16 significant strikes to the head. Notably, all significant strikes from both fighters were recorded at a distance.
In Bogdan Guskov’s most recent octagon outing, he faced Billy Elekana, securing a victory via guillotine choke in the second round. Elekana connected on 65% of his significant strikes at a distance, while Guskov managed a 40% accuracy rate. Overall, Guskov hit 66% of his total strikes, landing 47 out of 71 attempts, with 39 of 63 significant strikes directed at the head. Elekana, on the other hand, landed 20 out of 28 significant strikes in that match.
Other Notable Fights to Watch
Another matchup to keep an eye on is the clash between Bryce Mitchell and Said Nurmagomedov. Mitchell brings a record of 17-4-0 into the cage. The 30-year-old fighter tips the scales at 135 lbs and has a height of 5’10” with a wingspan of 70″. On the other side, Nurmagomedov stands 5’8″ and weighs in at 135 lbs with a record of 18-4-0. When it comes to grappling, Mitchell averages 3.27 takedowns per 15 minutes, while Nurmagomedov records 1.01 takedowns per three rounds. Striking-wise, Mitchell connects at an average of 2.44 strikes per minute, with a 59% striking accuracy, while Nurmagomedov lands 3.38 strikes per minute with a 47% accuracy rate.
Additionally, another fight of interest features Carlos Leal taking on Muslim Salikhov. Salikhov holds a career record of 21-5-0. The 41-year-old competitor weighs 170 lbs and stands tall at 5’11”. With a reach of 70″, he will face Leal, who is also 5’11” and weighs in at 170 lbs with a record of 22-6-0. Salikhov shows a remarkable 72% takedown defense, successfully executing takedowns in 32% of his attempts. Leal, conversely, completes takedowns on 25% of his tries, defending against an impressive 90% of attempted takedowns. In striking exchanges, Salikhov absorbs 2.90 strikes per minute, delivering 3.38 strikes, while Leal receives 7.73 strikes but lands an exceptional 9.65 strikes per minute.
Who will prevail in tonight’s UFC match against the spread?
Expert Pick: Bet on Bogdan Guskov (+165)
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