- Matchup: Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder
- Date: Sunday, January 11, 2026
- Venue: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
- Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network
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This Sunday, the Miami Heat (20-17) are set to face off against the formidable Oklahoma City Thunder (31-7) at the Paycom Center.
In their recent game, the Heat suffered a defeat against the Timberwolves, concluding the match at 122-94. Miami’s shooting was off, achieving a field goal percentage of 35.7% (35 of 98), including 12 successful 3-pointers out of 37 attempts. They also went 12 of 16 from the free-throw line, good for 75.0%. The team snagged 50 rebounds, with 11 being offensive. They registered 28 assists and forced their opponents into 12 turnovers while achieving 5 steals. On the defensive end, Miami allowed a shooting percentage of 45.9% from Minnesota, who logged 27 assists and 7 steals. The Timberwolves gathered 63 rebounds (11 offensive), and blocked the Heat 4 times. Minnesota finished the game at 78.3% from the charity stripe, making 18 out of 23 attempts, and connected on 14 of 39 shots from beyond the arc. In total, Miami accrued 20 fouls against Minnesota’s 23.
Norman Powell stood out in the last game, finishing with a shooting percentage of 52.9% from the floor and registering 4 assists in 31 minutes of play. He secured 3 rebounds and ended the game with 21 points, shooting 9 of 17.
The Heat step into this matchup with a current record of 20-17. This season, they average 120.1 points per game (3rd in the NBA) while shooting 46.9% from the field. Miami’s three-point shooting stands at 37.0% (487 of 1,315), and they convert 79.3% of their free throws. The team averages 45.6 rebounds per game and has dished out 1,062 assists this season, ranking 9th in assists. They average 14.4 turnovers and commit 18.9 fouls per game.
Defensively, the Heat force 16.2 turnovers per game and draw 20.3 personal fouls. They rank 19th in assists allowed with 1,004 this season. Miami’s defense permits opponents to shoot 45.9% (1,586 of 3,457) and gives up an average of 47.2 rebounds per game. They allow a three-point shooting percentage of 34.4% and rank 21st in the league in allowing points per game (117.4).
In their last matchup, the Thunder emerged victorious against the Jazz with a final score of 129-125. Oklahoma City secured 39 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive boards for a total of 51. The Thunder committed 11 turnovers while capturing 14 steals. The Jazz had 31 personal fouls, leading to 42 free-throw attempts for the Thunder, who converted 34 for a solid 81.0%. Oklahoma City struggled from downtown, making only 7 of 38 attempts (18.4%), and finished with an overall shooting percentage of 43.6% (44 of 101). They allowed the Jazz to shoot 44.1% (49 of 111) and finish 26.8% (11 of 41) from three-point territory, while converting 16 of 21 from the free-throw line (76.2%). On the boards, Oklahoma City allowed Utah to collect a total of 65 rebounds (19 offensive).
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was pivotal for the Thunder, racking up 46 points over 42 minutes, alongside 6 assists. He shot 14 of 26 (53.8%) and grabbed 6 rebounds.
With a season record of 31-7, Oklahoma City boasts an impressive offense, hitting 48.9% from the field, ranking 3rd in the league. They have scored a total of 4,615 points this season (121.4 per game) and average 44.1 rebounds. The Thunder also dish out 25.8 assists per game (17th in the league) and average 12.4 turnovers. They commit 20.4 personal fouls per game and convert 83.1% of their free throws.
Defensively, the Thunder rank first in the NBA for points allowed per game (108.1). They force an impressive 18.2 turnovers each game and limit opponents to 43.4% shooting from the field (1st in basketball). Oklahoma City allows 37.3% shooting from beyond the arc (553 of 1,482) while their opponents convert 76.1% of their free throws. They average 24.2 assists and 44.7 rebounds allowed per game, ranking 3rd and 18th respectively in the league.
Who will emerge as the victor in tonight’s NBA clash against the spread?
Prediction: Choose Oklahoma City
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