- Matchup: New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants
- Date: Wednesday, March 25, 2026
- Venue: Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA
- Broadcasting: Netflix
- Betting Odds: New York Yankees (-196) | San Francisco Giants (+162)
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The San Francisco Giants, who finished at .500 last season (81-81), are set to challenge the New York Yankees (94-68 last year) at Oracle Park this Wednesday. Current betting odds place New York at -196 and San Francisco at +162, with an over/under total of 8 runs. The starting pitchers are anticipated to be Max Fried for the Yankees and Logan Webb for the Giants.
The New York Yankees put up a solid slugging percentage of .455 in the previous season, striking out 1,463 times while recording 639 walks. They amassed a total of 820 RBIs alongside 1,371 hits, achieving a team batting average of .251. The Yankees also secured 255 doubles and launched 274 home runs, scoring a total of 849 runs, culminating in a league-leading average of 5.2 runs per game.
The team’s strikeout-to-walk ratio (K/BB) stood at 2.59, with the pitching staff registering a WHIP of 1.25. Yankees pitchers allowed 175 home runs and surrendered 685 runs overall, ranking 15th in MLB. They conceded 1,239 hits, averaging 7.7 hits per 9 innings, and ended the season with a team earned run average (ERA) of 3.91 (14th in MLB) while striking out 1,440 batters and issuing 557 walks, resulting in a collective FIP of 4.00.
The Yankees’ bullpen faced pressure with players on base 167 times throughout the season and were involved in 165 high-leverage scenarios. The bullpen made 100 holds (9th in MLB), achieving a save rate of 67.2% across 166 save chances. Although they successfully secured 43 saves, they missed 21 out of 64 opportunities to do so. The relievers inherited 255 base runners, with 27.5% of those scoring. In total, 533 relief pitchers took the mound for the Yankees last season.
Defensively, the Yankees recorded 4,319 putouts, 1,389 assists, and 94 errors, finishing the season with a fielding percentage of .986 (13th in MLB). They executed 105 double plays and converted 70.8% of balls in play into outs throughout 12,957 innings, placing them 6th in the league.
Max Fried, who holds a career record of 92-41, has a FIP of 2.99 after facing 4,415 batters in MLB. He allowed 947 hits (averaging 7.9 hits per nine innings) along with 297 walks. Fried’s ERA is 3.04, allowing 364 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.153. Across 1,079 innings pitched, he has accumulated 1,052 strikeouts.
On the other hand, the San Francisco Giants hit 173 home runs last season along with 672 RBIs. They made 239 doubles, achieved 705 runs, and had a team on-base percentage of .311, batting .235 overall. The Giants registered a slugging percentage of .386 and averaged 4.35 runs per game (17th in baseball), with 1,261 hits while striking out 1,380 times (ranking 12th in MLB).
As a pitching unit, the Giants held a WHIP of 1.298 and a FIP of 3.74. They achieved a K/BB ratio of 8.50, with 1,358 strikeouts against 506 walks. The pitching staff ranked 21st in MLB by allowing 1,354 hits, giving up 143 home runs while surrendering an average of 4.30 runs per nine innings (15th in MLB). Overall, they conceded 684 runs, with a staff ERA of 3.84 after allowing 612 earned runs.
In 152 save opportunities, the Giants recorded 89 holds while enduring 22 blown saves. Their relievers entered 63 save situations, achieving 41 saves. The bullpen was involved in 173 high-leverage situations, with 122 instances featuring base runners. With a 36.8% inherited scoring rate out of 193 base runners, San Francisco’s bullpen finished with a save percentage of 65.1%, having sent 515 relievers to the mound last season.
Defensively, over 12,903 innings, the Giants achieved a defensive efficiency of 68.4% (26th in the majors). They completed 134 double plays while maintaining a fielding percentage of .984 (23rd in MLB), with a total of 4,301 putouts, 95 errors, and 1,523 assists throughout the year.
Logan Webb has permitted 1,020 hits over his career, striking out 994 batters across 1,062 innings pitched. He’s allowed 399 earned runs, posting a WHIP of 1.196 and a FIP of 3.3. His strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 3.98, having faced 4,350 hitters. Webb holds a win-loss record of 70-53 with a career ERA of 3.38, giving up 8.6 hits per nine innings.
Who will claim victory in tonight’s MLB showdown, whether against the spread or on the moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on New York (-196)
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