Abus Magomedov vs Joe Pyfer Predictions and Odds for UFC 320 on 10/04/2025

Home » Abus Magomedov vs Joe Pyfer Predictions and Odds for UFC 320 on 10/04/2025
  • Abus Magomedov vs Joe Pyfer
  • UFC 320 Event Details
  • T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
  • Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025

In an exciting matchup, Abus Magomedov is set to go head-to-head with Joe Pyfer at UFC 320 on Saturday, October 4, 2025. The initial moneyline displays Magomedov at +195, while Pyfer stands at -230.

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Magomedov enters the Octagon boasting a record of 28 wins, 6 losses, and 1 draw. At 35 years old, he weighs in at 185 lbs and stands tall at 6’2″. This orthodox fighter has an impressive reach of 78 inches. Joe “Bodybagz” Pyfer, also 6’2″ and weighing the same, comes into the bout with a professional record of 14 wins and 3 losses at the age of 29. Pyfer has a reach of 75 inches. In terms of striking, Magomedov lands an average of 3.21 significant strikes per minute, while Pyfer connects on 3.74. Magomedov’s striking accuracy is 48%, and Pyfer’s is 43%. Defensively, Magomedov absorbs 3.68 significant strikes per minute compared to Pyfer’s 3.20. Notably, Magomedov successfully defends against 56% of significant strikes thrown at him, while Pyfer deflects 54% of his opponents’ attempts.

UFC Predictions for Abus Magomedov vs Joe Pyfer
UFC 320 Overview Abus Magomedov Joe Pyfer
Opening Odds +195 -230
Fight Record 28-6-1 14-3-0
Average Fight Duration 11:19 8:20
Height 6’2″ 6’2″
Weight Class 185 lbs 185 lbs
Reach 78″ 75″
Strikes per Minute 3.21 3.74
Striking Efficiency 48% 43%

On the grappling side, Abus Magomedov appears to have the edge, securing takedowns 2.65 times per three rounds. He has a takedown success rate of 57% and stops 85% of opponents’ takedown attempts. In contrast, Pyfer completes 42% of his takedown attempts and defends 60% against opponents. Regarding submission attempts, Magomedov averages only 0.2 submissions per three rounds, while Pyfer attempts 0.7 submissions every 15 minutes.

In his recent fight, Abus Magomedov faced Michel Pereira, emerging triumphant with a unanimous decision in the third round. In that bout, Pereira landed 74 out of 169 strikes, while Magomedov achieved an impressive 83 of 140 total strikes. When focusing on significant strikes, Pereira connected with 73 of 168, resulting in a 43% success rate, including 27 out of 90 that were aimed at the head. In comparison, Magomedov showcased an outstanding performance by landing 58% of his significant strikes, scoring 78 out of 134, with 53 of those directed at the head. Notably, 98% of the significant strikes from Pereira and 92% from Magomedov were registered at a distance.

Joe Pyfer’s last bout was against Kelvin Gastelum, where he secured a unanimous decision victory in round 3. Gastelum managed to connect on 96% of his significant strikes from distance, while Pyfer recorded 89%. Pyfer successfully hit 50% of his attempts, landing 57 out of 114 total strikes, with 44 of those strikes targeting the head. Gastelum, in that showdown, achieved 33 out of 99 significant strikes. He connected with 13 out of 69 strikes aimed at the head. Overall, Gastelum landed 34 out of 100 total strikes while Pyfer scored 58 out of 115.

Notable Fights on the Card

Another exciting fight to keep an eye on is the match between Ateba Gautier and Ozzy Diaz. Gautier boasts a record of 8-1-0, weighs 185 lbs, and stands at 6’4″. This switch fighter has a reach of 81 inches. Conversely, Diaz, also measuring 6’4″ and weighing the same, has a professional record of 10-3-0 and an arm span of 79 inches. In terms of grappling, Gautier achieves 0.50 takedowns per 3 rounds, while Diaz averages 0.90. In striking, Gautier lands 6.93 strikes per minute with a striking accuracy of 61%, while Diaz connects on 50% of his 6.44 strikes per minute.

Another must-watch clash on the card features Andre Muniz taking on Edmen Shahbazyan. Shahbazyan, with a record of 15-5-0, weighs in at 185 lbs and measures 6’2″. This orthodox fighter has a reach of 75 inches, while Muniz stands at 6’1″, weighing the same and boasting a record of 24-7-0. Shahbazyan has an impressive defense, stuffing 66% of opponents’ takedown attempts while successfully taking them to the ground 37% of the time. On the other hand, Muniz manages to execute takedowns 49% of the time and defends against 35% of all attempts. In terms of striking performance, Shahbazyan absorbs 3.62 strikes per minute and lands 3.74, compared to Muniz, who takes 2.33 strikes while connecting on 2.04.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s thrilling UFC match?

Prediction: Place your bet on Abus Magomedov (+195)

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Pick: Abus Magomedov (+195)
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