Ailin Perez vs Macy Chiasson Fight Predictions and Odds for UFC Mexico on 02/28/2026

Home » Ailin Perez vs Macy Chiasson Fight Predictions and Odds for UFC Mexico on 02/28/2026

  • Ailin Perez vs Macy Chiasson: A UFC Showdown
  • Event: UFC Mexico
  • Location: Arena CDMX, Mexico City
  • Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026

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On February 28, 2026, Ailin Perez is set to face off against Macy Chiasson at UFC Mexico. The opening betting odds place Perez at -185, while Chiasson comes in at +160.

Ailin “Fiona” Perez aims to improve her impressive record of 12 wins and 2 losses. At 31 years old, she weighs in at 135 lbs and stands 5 feet 5 inches tall, boasting a reach of 66 inches. Macy Chiasson, on the other hand, towers at 5 feet 11 inches and also weighs 135 lbs, entering the ring with a record of 11 wins and 5 losses. Chiasson, aged 34, has an extended reach of 72 inches. In terms of striking statistics, Perez averages 3.10 significant strikes per minute, while Chiasson connects with 3.50 significant strikes per minute. Moreover, Perez successfully lands 54% of her significant strikes, while Chiasson has a landing percentage of 46%. Defensively, Perez absorbs 1.79 significant strikes per minute, in contrast to Chiasson’s 2.86. Perez successfully defends against 55% of the significant strikes coming her way, while Chiasson manages to block 45%.

UFC Ailin Perez Predictions and Odds
UFC Mexico Ailin Perez Macy Chiasson
Opening Odds -185 +160
Record 12-2-0 11-5-0
Average Fight Time 12:18 10:36
Height 5′ 5″ 5′ 11″
Weight 135 lbs 135 lbs
Reach 66″ 72″
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.10 3.50
Striking Accuracy 54% 46%

In terms of grappling, Ailin Perez shines as she averages 4.68 takedowns per 15 minutes, successfully executing 46% of her takedown attempts and defending against 66% of her opponents’ attempts. In comparison, Chiasson secures takedowns at a rate of 37% and successfully defends against 72% of takedown attempts from her opponents. On submission attempts, Perez shows less activity, attempting 0.2 submissions per three rounds, while Chiasson attempts twice that, with 0.4 per three rounds.

In her previous fight, Ailin Perez faced off against Karol Rosa, securing a victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Rosa executed 120 of 182 strikes throughout the bout, while Perez managed to land 81 of 155 total strikes. Notably, Rosa’s significant strikes landed were 53 out of 112, resulting in a striking accuracy of 47%. In contrast, Perez recorded 62 out of 131 significant strikes, achieving an accuracy of 47%. The significant strikes from both fighters primarily occurred at distance.

In her last fight, Macy Chiasson went up against Yana Santos, suffering a defeat by unanimous decision in round 3. Both fighters landed 44% of their significant strikes from a distance. Chiasson managed to connect on 54 of 118 significant strikes, including 25 out of 76 aimed at the head. Santos, on the other hand, successfully landed 65 out of 124 significant strikes in their bout.

Highlighted Fights to Watch

Also on the card, keep an eye on Sofia Montenegro as she takes on Ernesta Kareckaite. Montenegro, with a record of 6-2-0, is 26 years old, fights at 125 lbs, and measures 5 feet 6 inches tall with a reach of 67 inches. Kareckaite, standing at 5 feet 9 inches and weighing 125 lbs, is looking to improve her 6-1-1 record with a reach of 71 inches. In terms of grappling stats, Montenegro averages 1.00 takedown per 15 minutes, while Kareckaite averages 0.67 takedowns.

Another anticipated match features Lone’er Kavanagh against Brandon Moreno. Moreno, with a 23-9-2 career record, is 32 years old, weighs 125 lbs, and stands at 5 feet 7 inches tall with a reach of 70 inches. Kavanagh, at 5 feet 6 inches and also 125 lbs, aims to enhance his 9-1-0 record. Moreno successfully defends against 64% of takedowns while executing 44% of his attempts. Kavanagh, in turn, shows a takedown success of 50% and defends against 88% of all takedown attempts. In striking, Moreno averages 3.89 strikes per minute, while Kavanagh records 4.29 strikes per minute.

Which fighter will emerge victorious tonight at the UFC matchup?

Prediction: Back Ailin Perez (-185)

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Pick: Ailin Perez (-185)
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