Air Force Falcons and Nevada Wolf Pack Prediction for 3/11/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Home » Air Force Falcons and Nevada Wolf Pack Prediction for 3/11/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: Air Force Falcons vs. Nevada Wolf Pack
  • Date: Wednesday, March 11, 2026
  • Venue: Thomas & Mack Center, Las Vegas, NV
  • Broadcast: ESPN+

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The Air Force Falcons (3-28) are headed to the Thomas & Mack Center this Wednesday to face off against the Nevada Wolf Pack (20-11) in the Mountain West Tournament.

college basketball predictions Kam Sanders Air Force Falcons betting odds

In their previous encounter, the Air Force Falcons struggled against Nevada, concluding the game with a score of 74-59. The Falcons recorded a shooting percentage of 49.0% (25 out of 51) and made 2 of their 12 attempts from beyond the three-point line. At the charity stripe, they converted 7 of 17 free throws, resulting in a 41.2% shooting efficiency. On the boards, they managed 19 rebounds, including 2 offensive boards. The Falcons also registered 5 assists while forcing their opponents into 10 turnovers and recording 7 steals. Defensively, Air Force allowed Nevada to shoot 48.2% from the field (27 of 56). The Wolf Pack tallied 15 assists and 5 steals, and they secured 35 rebounds (8 offensive and 27 defensive) without any blocked shots. Nevada excelled at the free throw line, making 16 of 20 attempts for 80.0%. However, they struggled with their three-point shooting, hitting only 4 of 18 attempts. The foul count stood at 18 for Air Force and 16 for Nevada.

Kam Sanders emerged as a key player in this match, scoring 14 points on 6 of 13 shooting. He played 34 minutes, collected 1 rebound, and distributed 3 assists while achieving a 46.2% shooting rate from the field.

This season, Air Force enters the game with a record of 3-28. The team averages 14.7 turnovers and commits 17.7 fouls per game. Collectively, they pull down 29.0 rebounds per outing and have amassed 382 assists this year, ranking 301st in Division 1 for assists. From beyond the arc, the Falcons are shooting 31.3% (207 of 662), and they convert 63.4% of their free throw attempts. They score an average of 62.1 points per game, placing them 364th in the nation, while shooting 43.0% overall.

In terms of defense, the Falcons force an average of 10.1 turnovers and commit 17.8 personal fouls per game. They rank 296th nationally in allowing assists to their opponents, conceding a total of 471 assists this season. Their defensive field goal percentage stands at 49.2% (874 out of 1,777), and they yield 35.5 rebounds per game collectively. Air Force allows their opponents to shoot 38.0% from three-point range, ranking them 327th in Division 1 for points per game allowed (79.9).

In their last outing, the Nevada Wolf Pack secured a win against the Falcons, finishing with a score of 74-59. The Wolf Pack gathered 27 defensive boards and 8 offensive rebounds, totaling 35. They recorded 10 turnovers during the game while making 5 steals. With 18 fouls committed by Air Force, Nevada capitalized at the charity stripe, making 16 of 20 attempts (80.0%). Their three-point shooting was less effective, hitting just 4 out of 18 for a 22.2% success rate. By the end of the game, Nevada achieved a shooting percentage of 48.2% (27 of 56) while allowing Air Force to convert 25 of 51 field goals for a 49.0% shooting mark. They shot 16.7% from long distance, making just 2 of 12 attempts, and finished with a free throw shooting rate of 41.2% (7 of 17). Defensively, Nevada allowed Air Force to grab 19 rebounds (2 offensive).

Corey Camper Jr. was instrumental for the Wolf Pack, racking up 18 points in 33 minutes on the hardwood, alongside 3 assists. He scored 7 of 17 attempts for a shooting percentage of 41.2% and contributed 4 rebounds.

Nevada upholds a solid record of 20-11 this season. They average 18.0 fouls per game and convert 75.1% of their free throw attempts. The Wolf Pack dish out assists 14.2 times per game, ranking 155th in college basketball, while they give up possession just 9.8 times per contest. With a total of 2,352 points this season (75.9 per game), they average 35.9 rebounds each outing. Offensively, the Wolf Pack are shooting 43.8% from the field, placing them 270th nationwide.

Defensively, Nevada allows 34.9% shooting from beyond the arc (256 of 733) and their opponents are converting 70.6% of their free throws. They yield 13.6 assists and 33.2 rebounds per game, ranking 197th and 104th respectively in the country. The Wolf Pack rank 121st nationally in points per game allowed with 71.9, forcing 11.6 turnovers per game and enabling teams to shoot 44.2% from the field (180th in Division 1).

Who will triumph tonight in the NCAA game against the spread?

Prediction: Take Nevada

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Pick: Nevada Wolf Pack
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