- Matchup: Air Force Falcons vs UNLV Rebels
- Date: Saturday, October 11, 2025
- Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
- Broadcast: CBSSN
- Odds/Point Spread: Rebels favored by 7.0 points
- Total Points O/U: 68
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The Air Force Falcons (1-4) are set to face the UNLV Rebels (5-0) at Allegiant Stadium on Saturday, October 11, 2025. The Falcons enter as 7.0-point underdogs according to betting lines, with the total set at 68.
This season, the Falcons have recorded a 1-4 record. Their most recent game ended in a narrow defeat to the Navy Midshipmen, with a score of 34-31. On the defensive front, Air Force allowed 178 rushing yards on 29 carries, averaging 6.1 yards per attempt. Additionally, they gave up 20 completions from 26 attempts, totaling 339 passing yards at a completion rate of 76.9%. The Falcons managed 65 offensive plays for a total of 460 yards, rushing 45 times for 211 yards, which averages out to 4.7 yards per carry.
This year, the Falcons have amassed 2,339 total yards. In the touchdown department, they’ve achieved 9 passing touchdowns and 15 rushing touchdowns, while committing 6 turnovers. As a unit, they’ve secured 110 first downs and incurred 23 penalties totaling 203 yards. Notably, they rank 8th nationally with an average of 245.6 rushing yards per game, scoring an average of 36.4 points per match.
When it comes to pass defense, the Falcons have given up 1,562 yards, ranking them 130th in the nation. They’re allowing 312.4 passing yards per game at a completion percentage of 71.2%. Overall, the Falcons are giving up 476.6 yards per contest, placing them 133rd in Division 1 football. They’ve allowed 11 passing touchdowns and 13 rushing touchdowns, conceding an average of 5.0 yards per carry and 164.2 rushing yards per game. Over five games, they’ve surrendered 821 rushing yards and currently sit at 132nd in opponent scoring, allowing 37.8 points per game.
The Rebels enter this matchup undefeated at 5-0. In their previous game, UNLV defeated the Wyoming Cowboys by a score of 31-17. In that contest, the Rebels allowed 102 rushing yards on 26 carries (3.9 yards per rush). Their pass defense yielded a completion rate of 54.3%, surrendering 254 yards on 25 completions from 46 attempts. UNLV accumulated 255 yards from 59 offensive plays, averaging 4.3 yards per play, and finished with 153 rushing yards on 39 attempts, also averaging 3.9 yards per carry.
The UNLV Rebels are averaging 411.4 yards per game, ranking them 57th nationally. They have accrued 414 penalty yards over 42 infractions, positioning them 14th in Division 1 for mistakes. Their ground game has tallied 195.6 yards per game, with a total of 978 rushing yards for the season. They’ve thrown 3 interceptions, lost 2 fumbles, and achieved 110 first downs. In terms of offensive scoring, they rank 38th nationally, averaging 35.6 points per game. This season, the Rebels have totaled 1,079 passing yards, with an average of 215.8 passing yards per game, placing them 81st in the Division 1 standings.
Defensively, the Rebels have allowed 711 rushing yards (142.2 yards/game) and have given up 6 rushing touchdowns this season. They’ve also permitted 8 passing touchdowns and 271.2 passing yards per game, ranking 127th in Division 1. Overall, they have conceded a total of 130 points. The Rebels defense has recovered 4 fumbles and intercepted 9 passes this season, participating in 344 plays, ranking 76th in the nation. With a defensive scoring average of 26.0 points per game, they currently sit at 86th in the nation.
Who will prevail in this college football clash between the Falcons and the Rebels?
Expert’s Prediction: Bet on the Falcons covering the +7.0 spread
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