- Matchup: Alabama Crimson Tide vs Indiana Hoosiers
- Event Date: Thursday, January 1, 2026
- Venue: Rose Bowl, Pasadena, CA
- Broadcasting: ESPN
- Betting Odds: Hoosiers favored by 7.0 points
- Total Points Over/Under: 48.5
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This January 1st, 2026, the Alabama Crimson Tide (11-3) will clash with the undefeated Indiana Hoosiers (13-0) in the CFP Quarterfinal at the historic Rose Bowl. Alabama enters this encounter as 7.0-point underdogs, with the total points set at 48.5.
With a record of 11-3, the Alabama Crimson Tide conclude their season strong. Most recently, they faced the Oklahoma Sooners, emerging victorious with a score of 34-24. During that game, Alabama executed 54 plays, resulting in 260 offensive yards. They managed just 28 rushing yards on 25 attempts, averaging a mere 1.1 yards per carry. Defensively, Alabama allowed 55 rushing yards on 33 carries, averaging 1.7 yards per rush. In the passing game, they conceded 26 completions on 42 attempts for 307 yards, achieving a completion percentage of 61.9%.

This season, the Crimson Tide amassed 5,321 total yards. In the red zone, they’ve achieved 32 passing touchdowns alongside 21 rushing touchdowns, while turning the ball over 13 times. Alabama recorded 294 first downs and faced 66 penalties totaling 591 yards. The team averages 109.9 rushing yards per game, ranking them 120th nationally, and they score an average of 31.4 points per game.
Defensively, the Crimson Tide rank 13th in college football, allowing 17.9 points per game. They have permitted 3.7 yards per carry and 120.6 rushing yards per game this season. Over 14 games, Alabama surrendered a total of 1,688 rushing yards. Against the pass, they allowed 2,358 yards, placing them 25th in the nation, with an allowance of 168.4 yards per game and a completion percentage of 61.3%. Overall, they’ve given up 288.9 yards per contest, which positions them 13th nationally, allowing 13 passing touchdowns and 15 rushing touchdowns.
The Indiana Hoosiers step into this showdown boasting a perfect record of 13-0. Their latest outing resulted in a narrow victory over the Ohio State Buckeyes, finishing 13-10. Against Ohio State, Indiana’s defense limited their opponents to 26 rush attempts for just 58 yards, averaging 2.2 yards per carry. In pass defense, the Hoosiers allowed a completion percentage of 73.3%, yielding 264 yards on 22 completions from 30 attempts. Indiana recorded 340 total yards from 57 offensive plays, averaging 6.0 yards per play, and achieved 118 rushing yards on 34 attempts at a rate of 3.5 yards per carry.
On average, the Indiana Hoosiers accumulate 472.8 yards per game, ranking 8th in Division 1. Their offense has committed 371 penalty yards over 49 infractions, placing them 128th in Division 1 for penalties. They boast an impressive average of 221.2 rushing yards per game, netting a total of 2,876 rushing yards this season. With 7 interceptions and 1 fumble recovery against them, they have successfully tallied 320 first downs. The Hoosiers rank 4th in the nation, scoring an impressive average of 41.9 points per game. They have racked up 3,271 passing yards this season, averaging 251.6 passing yards per game—good for 46th in the country.
Indiana’s defense has allowed just 1,009 rushing yards (77.6 yards per game) and 5 rushing touchdowns throughout the season. In the passing game, they’ve permitted 7 touchdowns and averaged 179.5 passing yards against them, ranking 18th nationally. Overall, their defense has allowed 140 total points. They’ve also recorded 8 forced fumbles and 17 interceptions this season, ranking 12th in the nation for total plays faced at 731. Remarkably, the Hoosiers are surrendering just 10.8 points per game, which ranks them 2nd in the country.
Who will prevail in this thrilling Crimson Tide vs. Hoosiers matchup against the spread?
Prediction: Bet on the Hoosiers -7.0
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