Alessandro Costa vs Stewart Nicoll Predictions, UFC Vegas 115 Odds for 04/04/2026

• Alessandro Costa vs Stewart Nicoll Preview
• UFC Vegas 115 Fight Card
• Location: Meta APEX, Las Vegas, NV
• Date: Saturday, April 4, 2026

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In an exciting matchup, Alessandro Costa is set to face off against Stewart Nicoll at UFC Vegas 115 on Saturday, April 4, 2026. The opening betting odds reflect Costa as the favorite at -400, while Nicoll is considered the underdog at +330.

Alessandro “Nono” Costa enters the Octagon with a record of 14 wins and 5 losses. At 30 years old, he weighs in at 125 lbs and stands 5’4″ tall with a reach of 67″. Stewart “Kakamora” Nicoll, a 29-year-old fighter, stands slightly taller at 5’5″ and also weighs 125 lbs, aiming to improve his record of 8-2-0. Costa lands an average of 3.64 significant strikes per minute, while Nicoll averages 3.00. Significant striking accuracy favors Costa at 44%, compared to Nicoll’s 34%. In terms of defense, Costa absorbs 3.57 significant strikes per minute, whereas Nicoll takes more damage at 6.69 strikes per minute. Costa effectively defends against 57% of incoming strikes, while Nicoll deflects 48% of his opponents’ attempts.

When it comes to grappling, Costa is less proficient, scoring a takedown just 0.46 times per 15 minutes. He completes 16% of his takedown attempts and successfully defends against 83% of his opponents’ takedowns. Nicoll, on the other hand, manages to take down opponents 14% of the time and defends against 25% of takedowns against him. In submission attempts, Costa leads with 0.5 attempts per 3 rounds, while Nicoll averages 0.2 per 15 minutes.

In his latest Octagon outing, Alessandro Costa faced Alden Coria and suffered a defeat via TKO due to a head punch in the third round. Coria landed 77 out of 131 strikes, while Costa connected on 14 of 59 strikes total. Notably, Coria achieved a striking accuracy of 44%, landing 34 of 85 significant strikes to the head. Costa, conversely, landed just 21% of his significant strikes, connecting on 12 of 56 attempts, with 7 of those directed at the head. A substantial 69% of Coria’s significant strikes and all of Costa’s were delivered at a distance.

On the other hand, Stewart Nicoll’s last match was against Lucas Rocha, where he lost by unanimous decision in the third round. Rocha landed 86% of his significant strikes at distance, while Nicoll matched that accuracy but connected on only 32% overall. In total, Nicoll landed 45 of 138 significant strikes, with 41 being directed to the head. Rocha, in comparison, connected on 115 of 226 total strikes.

Notable Fights to Watch

Among the other anticipated bouts, Lando Vannata will compete against Darrius Flowers. Vannata, sporting a record of 12-7-2, steps into the cage at 155 lbs and 5’9″. His reach is 71″. Flowers, also at 155 lbs and the same height, comes in with a record of 12-8-1. Regarding grappling, Vannata averages 1.09 takedowns per 15 minutes, while Flowers averages 0.98. In striking, Vannata connects at 4.52 strikes per minute with a 45% accuracy, whereas Flowers lands an average of 3.07 strikes with 49% accuracy.

Another exciting matchup to keep an eye on features Tabatha Ricci against Virna Jandiroba. Jandiroba, with a strong record of 22-4-0, weighs in at 115 lbs and stands 5’3″. Ricci, contesting with a record of 12-3-0, is 5’1″ and also weighs 115 lbs. In the grappling department, Jandiroba successfully defends 74% of takedowns and converts 37% of her attempts, while Ricci boasts a 37% success rate on takedowns and defends 78%. In terms of striking, Jandiroba absorbs 2.90 strikes per minute but delivers 2.33, while Ricci absorbs 5.19 and connects on 4.18 strikes per minute.

Who will clinch victory in tonight’s UFC showdown?

Predicted Outcome: Stewart Nicoll (+330)