Appalachian State Mountaineers vs Troy Trojans Preview, 1/31/2026 College Basketball Predictions, Top Picks & Odds

Home » Appalachian State Mountaineers vs Troy Trojans Preview, 1/31/2026 College Basketball Predictions, Top Picks & Odds

  • Matchup: Appalachian State Mountaineers vs Troy Trojans
  • Date: Saturday, January 31, 2026
  • Venue: Trojan Arena, Troy, AL
  • Broadcast: ESPN+

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The Appalachian State Mountaineers (13-9) will travel to Trojan Arena this Saturday to face off against the Troy Trojans (15-6).

NCAA Basketball Picks Victor Valdes Troy Trojans Predictions Best Bet Odds

In their last outing, the Appalachian State Mountaineers achieved a convincing 59-43 victory against UL Monroe. The Mountaineers recorded 16 fouls while UL Monroe committed 13. From three-point range, they converted 5 out of 25 attempts. UL Monroe, meanwhile, shot 70.6% from the free throw line, netting 12 of 17 attempts. The Warhawks pulled down 38 rebounds (8 offensive, 30 defensive) but failed to block any shots. They dished out 4 assists and managed 8 steals during the game. Defensively, Appalachian State limited UL Monroe to a mere 22.0% shooting from the field, allowing only 13 successful baskets out of 59 attempts. The Mountaineers recorded 14 assists, forced 11 turnovers, and achieved 7 steals themselves. On the boards, they secured a total of 50 rebounds, including 13 on the offensive end. At the free throw line, they scored 7 out of 9 attempts for a conversion rate of 77.8%. Overall, Appalachian State finished the game with a field goal percentage of 32.9% (23 of 70) and made 6 of 39 attempts from beyond the arc.

Luke Wilson had a notable performance, contributing 14 points on 6 of 12 shooting. He played for 31 minutes, secured 12 rebounds, shooting 50.0% from the floor, and also provided 2 assists.

Entering this matchup, Appalachian State holds a season record of 13-9. They average 10.0 turnovers per game and commit 16.3 fouls per contest. The team averages 39.5 rebounds and has accumulated 285 assists this year, ranking 214th nationally in assists. From beyond the arc, the Mountaineers are shooting 30.9% (176 of 569) and have a free throw percentage of 61.4%. They average 72.2 points per game, ranking 283rd in the country, while shooting 44.7% from the field.

Defensively, the Mountaineers force an average of 9.8 turnovers per game while committing 18.6 personal fouls. They stand 117th nationally in allowing assists, having surrendered 264 this season. Their defense allows opponents a field goal percentage of 39.0% (493 of 1,265) and gives up an average of 34.3 rebounds per game. Opponents have managed to shoot 31.2% from three-point range, placing Appalachian State 25th in Division 1 in terms of points allowed per game (65.5).

In their most recent game, the Troy Trojans defeated Georgia Southern with a score of 83-78. The Trojans amassed 33 rebounds total, including 21 defensive and 12 offensive. Troy turned the ball over 13 times but managed to secure 5 steals. Georgia Southern committed 17 fouls, sending the Trojans to the line 24 times, where they converted 18 for a 75.0% success rate. Troy made 9 of 25 attempts from three-point territory (36.0%). Overall, they shot 28 for 57 from the field, achieving a shooting percentage of 49.1%. They allowed Georgia Southern to make 27 of 56 shots from the field, resulting in a 48.2% shooting percentage. The Trojans permitted their opponents to hit 34.4% on three-pointers, making 11 of 32 attempts, and finished 13 out of 17 from the free throw line (76.5%). Defensively, they only allowed 21 total rebounds from Georgia Southern, with 6 coming from the offensive end.

Victor Valdes was a key player for Troy in that matchup, scoring 22 points on 6 of 14 shooting for a shooting percentage of 42.9%, alongside 3 rebounds in his 29 minutes on the court.

Troy currently holds a record of 15-6 for the season. They commit an average of 17.5 fouls per game and maintain a free throw percentage of 73.2%. The Trojans assist teammates 16.8 times per game, ranking 51st nationally, with an average of 12.5 turnovers per game. So far this season, Troy has accumulated 1,817 points (86.5 per game) and they average 39.7 rebounds per game. As an offensive unit, the Trojans are converting 46.2% from the floor, ranking 137th in the nation.

On the defense, Troy is ranked 248th in Division 1 for points allowed per game, averaging 76.3 points. They generate 14.3 turnovers per game and allow opponents to shoot 43.4% from the floor (164th in Division 1). Troy allows 33.4% shooting from three-point range (165 of 494) and their opponents make 68.1% of their attempts from the charity stripe. They surrender an average of 13.6 assists and 35.8 rebounds per game, ranking 203rd and 266th respectively in these defensive categories.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s NCAA matchup against the spread?

Prediction: Back Appalachian State

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Pick: Appalachian State Mountaineers
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