Matchup: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Minnesota Twins
Scheduled Date: Saturday, September 13, 2025
Venue: Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
Broadcast: Twins.TV
Betting Odds: Arizona (-196) Minnesota (+162)
On Saturday, the Minnesota Twins (64-82) will aim to overcome the Arizona Diamondbacks (73-74) at Target Field. The odds favor the Diamondbacks at -196, with the Twins positioned at +162. The game’s over/under is set at 8.5. Anticipated starting pitchers are Ryne Nelson and Joe Ryan.
The Arizona Diamondbacks maintain a slugging percentage of .434 and have recorded 1,190 strikeouts, alongside 490 walks. This season, they have tallied 705 RBIs and 1,242 hits, boasting a batting average of .250. The team has hit 246 doubles and 199 home runs. With a total of 724 runs, they hold a team on-base percentage of .323, averaging 4.9 runs per game, placing them 6th in the league.
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For the season, the Diamondbacks’ team earned run average stands at 4.47 (23rd in MLB), with the pitching staff striking out 1,163 batters. They have conceded 174 home runs and a total of 705 runs (24th in baseball). This year, pitchers have issued 455 walks, while their FIP is calculated at 4.26. They have allowed 1,271 hits (8.8 per 9 innings) and 650 earned runs, with a K/BB ratio of 2.56 and a WHIP of 1.32.
This season, the Diamondbacks have utilized 447 relief pitchers. The bullpen has inherited 173 base runners, of which 34.1% have crossed home plate. They have secured 40 saves and blown 27 out of 67 chances, resulting in a save percentage of 59.7%. The bullpen has also earned 81 holds (15th in MLB) and participated in 152 save opportunities, entering high leverage situations 145 times.
The Diamondbacks convert 69.5% of balls in play into outs over 11,769 innings of play, ranking them 20th in Major League Baseball. With 3,923 putouts, 1,328 assists, and 73 errors, they hold a fielding percentage of .986, placing them 15th in the league, alongside 116 double plays.
Ryne Nelson has pitched 450 innings with 356 strikeouts throughout his MLB career. Holding a career record of 26-18, Nelson has a FIP of 4.18 and has faced 1,867 batters. His earned run average stands at 4.24 (212 earned runs) with a WHIP of 1.229 and has allowed 431 base hits, averaging 8.6 hits per nine innings, along with 122 walks.
The Minnesota Twins have a team slugging percentage of .398, averaging 4.23 runs per game (23rd in MLB). They have recorded 223 doubles, 453 walks, and a total of 617 runs scored this year. Furthermore, the Twins have achieved 173 home runs and 585 RBIs. They have struck out 1,217 times (16th in the league) and registered 1,169 hits, maintaining a .239 batting average and a .312 on-base percentage.
This season, the Minnesota pitching staff has allowed 702 runs, with an ERA of 4.60 (656 earned runs). They’ve surrendered 176 home runs and give up 4.92 runs per 9 innings (24th in MLB). Their WHIP stands at 1.330, with a FIP of 4.14 for the year. The K/BB ratio sits at 8.60 (1,221 strikeouts versus 415 walks), while they rank 26th in the league for total hits allowed at 1,291.
With 139 save opportunities, the Twins have recorded 87 holds and 23 blown saves. Minnesota has utilized relievers in 50 save situations, achieving 27 successful saves. Their relievers have entered high leverage situations 162 times, as well as stepping onto the mound 110 times with runners on base. The inherited run scoring percentage for Minnesota’s relievers stands at 36.3% for 160 inherited runners. They rank 27th in MLB with a save rate of 54.0% and have dispatched 492 relievers this season.
Across 11,547 innings played, the Twins maintain a defensive efficiency of 68.2% (29th in MLB). They have recorded 89 double plays and a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in the league), alongside 1,092 assists, 75 errors, and 3,849 putouts this season.
In his professional career, Joe Ryan has surrendered 520 base hits while achieving 701 strikeouts across 627 frames. He holds a WHIP of 1.057 and a FIP of 3.70, giving up 263 earned runs. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 4.90, facing 2,542 opposing hitters. Ryan has a career record of 46-34 and an ERA of 3.77, giving up 7.5 hits per 9 innings.
Who do you think will win this evening’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Bet on Arizona (-196)
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