Matchup: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Detroit Tigers
Date: Monday, July 28, 2025
Venue: Comerica Park, Detroit, MI
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Detroit
Betting Odds: Arizona (+125) Detroit (-150)
The Detroit Tigers, currently holding a record of 60-44, face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks, who are sitting at 50-53, at Comerica Park on Monday. The moneyline features Arizona at +125 and Detroit at -150, with a total set at 8 runs. Ace pitchers Eduardo Rodriguez and Casey Mize are slated to take the mound.
The Arizona Diamondbacks have been averaging 5.1 runs per game this season, ranking them 4th in Major League Baseball (MLB). They have accumulated 522 runs with an on-base percentage (OBP) of .329. The team has recorded 186 doubles and launched 147 home runs, totaling 510 RBIs and 882 hits for a batting average of .253. Arizona boasts a slugging percentage of .446, with 807 strikeouts compared to 365 walks.
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The Diamondbacks have recorded an ERA of 4.58 this season, placing them 25th in MLB, while their pitchers have struck out 866 batters. They’ve allowed a total of 131 home runs and 508 runs (also 25th in the league). Their walk rate stands at 330, and their FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) is 4.29. Arizona’s hurlers have permitted 893 hits (averaging 8.8 hits per 9 innings) and 466 earned runs, with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.62 and a WHIP (Walks and Hits per Inning Pitched) of 1.33.
The Diamondbacks’ bullpen has a save percentage of 60.9%, having entered 102 save situations. They inherited 106 runners this season, with 34.9% scoring. The pitchers have faced runners on base 82 times and participated in 92 high-leverage opportunities, sending 310 relievers to the mound, earning 53 holds (ranked 21st in MLB). This season, they have secured 28 saves but have also blown 18 of their 46 save chances.
Defensively, Arizona has converted 69.0% of balls in play into outs across 8,250 innings, ranking 22nd in MLB. The team has 2,750 putouts, 900 assists, and 52 errors, giving them a fielding percentage of .986 (ranked 17th) and 81 double plays.
Eduardo Rodriguez has pitched 1,236 innings in his MLB career, racking up 1,247 strikeouts with an ERA of 4.18 (allowing 574 earned runs). He holds a career WHIP of 1.327, permitting 1,213 hits (8.8 per 9 innings) and 427 walks with an overall record of 88-63 and a FIP of 4.12, facing 5,288 batters.
The Detroit Tigers have achieved a team OBP of .320 paired with a .249 batting average this season. With 911 strikeouts (5th in MLB), they have compiled 870 hits and hit 129 home runs, driving in 476 runs. Their slugging percentage is .416, averaging 4.76 runs per game (ranked 7th), with 160 doubles, 335 walks, and 495 runs scored.
The Tigers’ pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.232 with a team FIP of 3.83 this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is an impressive 8.70 (891 strikeouts against 300 walks). They rank 15th in MLB in total hits allowed (835), surrendering 111 home runs and allowing 4.20 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league). The Detroit pitching staff has permitted 430 runs, holding an ERA of 3.79 (388 earned runs).
Detroit’s relievers responded to 42 save opportunities, converting 28 of those into saves—ranking them 9th in MLB with a 66.7% save percentage. They’ve utilized 323 relievers and faced 86 high-leverage situations with base runners on 117 occasions. The inherited runner scoring percentage for the bullpen stands at 26.3% out of 160 inherited runners. In 95 save situations, the Tigers have recorded 50 holds but have experienced 14 blown saves.
Over 8,292 innings, the Tigers’ defensive efficiency is 70.0%, placing them 14th in the league. They’ve turned 80 double plays with a fielding percentage of .986 (13th among MLB teams). The team has registered 877 assists, 50 errors, and achieved 2,764 putouts this season.
Throughout his professional career, Casey Mize has allowed 389 hits while notching 308 strikeouts in 383 innings pitched. With a career record of 18-23, his ERA stands at 4.13, permitting 9.1 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 176 earned runs and boasts a WHIP of 1.297 along with a FIP of 4.1. His strikeout-to-walk ratio reads 2.85, having faced 1,634 batters to date.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction from Josh Schonwald: Back Detroit (-150)
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