Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Missouri State Bears Game Prediction, 11/11/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Home » Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Missouri State Bears Game Prediction, 11/11/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Missouri State Bears
  • Date: Tuesday, November 11, 2025
  • Venue: Great Southern Bank Arena, Springfield, MO
  • Broadcast: ESPN+

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The Arkansas State Red Wolves (1-1) are on the road this Tuesday, set to face off against the undefeated Missouri State Bears (2-0) at the Great Southern Bank Arena.

College Basketball Betting Insights by Keith Palek III

In their last outing, the Arkansas State Red Wolves faced a tough defeat against Stephen F. Austin, losing with a score of 90-65. The Red Wolves committed 19 fouls while Stephen F. Austin incurred 25. Arkansas State converted 12 of 33 attempts from beyond the arc but struggled overall, finishing with a field goal percentage of 31.5% (17 out of 54). They were significantly better at the free-throw line, making 26 of 33 shots for an impressive 78.8% success rate.

Joey Chammaa emerged as a key player in the last game, achieving 17 points on 60% shooting (3 of 5) over 25 minutes but did not contribute rebounds or assists.

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Arkansas State enters this matchup with a 1-1 record for the season. They average 77.0 points per game (ranked 229th nationally) and maintain a shooting percentage of 40.0% from the floor. From three-point range, they are averaging 27.8% (15 of 54), and converting 83.6% of their free throws. The team is averaging 35.5 rebounds and has recorded only 23 assists this season, ranking 293rd in Division I for assists per game. Turnovers are an issue too, as they give the ball away 16 times per game and average 23 personal fouls per game.

Defensively, the Red Wolves force an average of 12.0 turnovers per game while drawing 22.0 fouls. They allow an opponent shooting percentage of 48.9% and rank poorly in points allowed per game (87.5). Arkansas State concedes an average of 37.0 rebounds per contest.

The Missouri State Bears recently dominated Northwestern Oklahoma State, winning 106-57. They permitted 25 rebounds, with 6 being offensive, while finishing the game with a 60.3% field goal percentage, converting 41 of 68 attempts. They made 40.0% from three-point range and shot 57.9% from the free-throw line.

Keith Palek III was standout in the Bears’ last matchup, scoring 20 points, dishing out 8 assists, and securing 7 rebounds in 26 minutes while hitting 58.3% of his shots (7 of 12).

Missouri State is currently 2-0 this season, averaging 14.0 fouls per game and shooting 68.9% from the charity stripe. They rank 14th in Division I, averaging 23.0 assists per game, and maintain low turnovers at 10.0. The Bears average 97.0 points (194 total) and grab 52.5 rebounds per game while shooting 50.3% from the field, ranking 77th nationally.

On the defensive side, Missouri State ranks 89th in points allowed per game (63.5), forcing 12.5 turnovers per game and allowing opponents to shoot 37.9%. Opponents convert 25.0% of three-point attempts against them and 54.8% of their free throws. Missouri State also gives up 12.5 assists and 33.5 rebounds per game.

Which team will come out victorious against the spread tonight?

Prediction: Bet on Arkansas State

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Pick: Arkansas State Red Wolves
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