Matchup: Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs
Date: Monday, September 1, 2025
Venue: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
Broadcast: Marquee Network
Betting Odds: Atlanta (+172) Chicago (-210)
This matchup at Wrigley Field features the Chicago Cubs (76-58) squaring off against the Atlanta Braves (61-73) on Monday. The sportsbooks have set the odds with the Braves at +172 and the Cubs at -210. The over/under for this game is 8.5 runs, with Spencer Strider and Colin Rea expected to take the mound as starting pitchers.
This season, the Braves have amassed 202 doubles and launched 153 home runs. As a collective, Atlanta holds a slugging percentage of .395 and has struck out 1,157 times while drawing 486 walks. Currently, the Braves are averaging 4.5 runs per game, ranking 14th in the league. They have recorded 578 RBIs and 1,111 hits, resulting in a team batting average of .244, while their on-base percentage stands at .321.
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The Braves’ pitching staff holds an earned run average of 4.44 this season, placing them 22nd in the league, and they have recorded 1,144 strikeouts. Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 163 home runs and 615 total runs (21st in MLB). They are responsible for 448 walks issued, leading to a collective FIP of 4.26. Throughout the season, they have surrendered 1,111 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and 585 earned runs, producing a K/BB ratio of 2.55 and a WHIP of 1.32.
This season, the Braves have deployed 427 relief pitchers, who have faced 181 inherited runners, with 38.1% of them scoring. They have recorded 26 saves but have failed on 17 of 43 attempts. The relief staff has a 60.5% save rate, participating in 99 save opportunities. The bullpen has achieved 56 holds this season, which is 26th in MLB, and has entered games with opponents on base 137 times in addition to 138 high-leverage situations.
Defensively, the Braves have compiled 3,533 putouts, 1,145 assists, and 47 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .990, which ranks 2nd in the majors. They have completed 92 double plays, converting 70.0% of balls in play into outs over a span of 10,599 innings, good for 15th in MLB.
Strider has pitched 425 innings in his MLB career, accumulating 600 strikeouts. He holds a career win-loss record of 37-22 and has a FIP of 3.75 while facing 1,758 batters. His ERA stands at 3.81 (180 earned runs), with a WHIP of 1.143, allowing 339 hits (7.2 hits per 9 innings) and issuing 147 walks.
The Chicago Cubs have posted an on-base percentage of .319 alongside a team batting average of .249 for the season. They have struck out 1,041 times (27th in baseball) while tallying 1,133 hits. The Cubs have produced 181 home runs and registered 640 RBIs. Their slugging percentage is .426, averaging 4.90 runs per game, ranking 7th in the league. They also have 220 doubles, earned 451 walks, and scored 656 runs.
As a pitching staff, the Cubs have a WHIP of 1.199 and a FIP of 4.21. They rank 11th in MLB in total hits allowed (1,078) and have yielded 543 runs this season, cementing a team ERA of 3.83 (506 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio is an impressive 7.70 (1,022 strikeouts to 347 walks), allowing 167 home runs and 4.11 runs per 9 innings (5th in MLB).
With 141 save situations, the Cubs have secured 88 holds while suffering 15 blown saves. They have utilized their bullpen for 50 save opportunities, converting 35 into saves. Relief pitchers have entered 129 high-leverage situations and have been called upon with base runners on 87 instances. The inherited scoring rate for Chicago relievers is 30.3%, placing them 4th in MLB with a 70.0% success rate in saves, having used 433 relievers this season.
Over 10,617 innings, the Cubs maintain a defensive efficiency of 71.7% (3rd in MLB). The Cubs have executed 102 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .989, ranking 5th in baseball. This season, they have recorded 1,118 assists, committed 54 errors, and completed 3,539 putouts.
In his career, Rea has allowed 566 hits while collecting 461 strikeouts over 578 innings pitched. With a career record of 36-26, he posts a 4.50 earned run average, allowing 8.8 hits per 9 innings. Rea has yielded a total of 289 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.287 and a FIP of 4.40. His K/BB ratio is 2.59, and he has faced 2,462 opposing players throughout his MLB journey.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Parlay’s Pundit’s Prediction: Back Chicago (-210) and the under on 8.5 runs.
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