Matchup: Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs
Date: Tuesday, September 2, 2025
Venue: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
Broadcast: Marquee
Betting Odds: Atlanta (+172) Chicago (-210)
The Chicago Cubs (78-58) are set to face off against the Atlanta Braves (61-75) at Wrigley Field this Tuesday. The moneyline for this matchup shows Atlanta at +172 while Chicago is favored at -210. The anticipated over/under for the game is 9 runs. Starting pitchers are expected to be Joey Wentz and Shota Imanaga.
As a team, the Atlanta Braves are averaging 4.4 runs per game, ranking 15th in the league. They have accumulated a total of 601 runs and possess a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .321. The Braves have recorded 207 doubles and launched 153 home runs. They have driven in 581 runs and gathered 1,132 hits this season, with a collective batting average of .244. Atlanta’s slugging percentage stands at .394, with 1,173 strikeouts and 488 walks drawn.
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The Braves have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.57 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.31. Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 164 home runs and given up 620 runs (ranking 20th in MLB). The Braves have conceded 1,123 hits (averaging 8.4 per 9 innings) and 589 earned runs, resulting in an ERA of 4.41 this season (22nd in MLB), with 1,162 strikeouts. The staff has issued 453 walks and their Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) stands at 4.23 so far this season.
This year, the Braves have deployed 435 relievers, with the bullpen inheriting 188 runners, of which 38.3% have scored. The relief unit has achieved 26 saves but has blown 18 of their 44 save opportunities, resulting in a save rate of 59.1% across 101 save situations. The bullpen also has accumulated 57 holds this season (26th in MLB) and has entered high-leverage situations 146 times.
This season, the Braves have managed 3,610 putouts, 1,167 assists, and committed 48 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently .990, ranking 2nd in baseball, with 93 double plays turned. They have achieved a defensive efficiency of 70.0% with 10,830 innings played, placing them 14th in MLB.
Wentz, with a career win-loss record of 11-21, possesses a FIP of 5.32 after facing 1,274 batters. He has allowed 296 hits (9.4 hits per nine innings) and 129 walks. His earned run average is 5.40 (allowing 170 ERs), and his WHIP is 1.500. Over 283 innings pitched, Wentz has racked up 265 strikeouts throughout his career.
The Chicago Cubs have hit 185 home runs this season, driving in 655 runs. They boast 227 doubles and have drawn 461 walks, totaling 671 runs. The Cubs’ OBP is .320, and they hold a batting average of .250 for the season. Their slugging percentage is .430, allowing them to average 4.93 runs per game, ranking 5th in the league. They have struck out 1,048 times (27th in MLB) and gathered 1,157 hits.
Chicago’s pitching staff has allowed 553 runs this season while recording a team ERA of 3.84 (515 earned runs). They have surrendered 169 home runs and concede an average of 4.13 runs per 9 innings (7th in MLB). The Cubs maintain a team WHIP of 1.203, with a FIP of 4.21. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is an impressive 7.70 (1,036 strikeouts against 352 walks), placing them 13th in total hits allowed (1,099).
In save situations this season, Chicago relief pitchers have entered 51 times and secured 36 saves, ranking 4th in MLB with a save percentage of 70.6%. They have utilized 440 bullpen pitchers this year, with 132 appearances in high-leverage spots and 88 with runners on base. Their inherited runner score percentage stands at 30.1% out of 123 inherited runners. In total, the Cubs have recorded 14 blown saves alongside 90 holds in 144 save scenarios.
Chicago has executed 106 double plays with a fielding percentage of .988, placing 5th in the majors. The Cubs have achieved 1,142 assists, committed 56 errors, and notched 3,618 putouts this season. Their defensive efficiency is 71.6% across 10,854 innings played, ranking 3rd in MLB.
Imanaga holds a career record of 23-9, with a stellar 2.98 ERA while allowing 7.3 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 5.38, having faced 1,148 batters to date. He has allowed 96 earned runs, recording a WHIP of 0.986 and a FIP of 2.90. Throughout his career, Imanaga has allowed 236 hits and achieved 269 strikeouts over 290 innings pitched.
Who will claim victory in tonight’s MLB matchup, both against the spread and the moneyline?
Expert Pick from Josh Schonwald: Choose Atlanta (+172)
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