Matchup: Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs
Date: Wednesday, September 3, 2025
Venue: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
Broadcast: Marquee
Betting Odds: Atlanta (+150) Chicago (-182)
The Atlanta Braves (62-76) are heading to Wrigley Field this Wednesday, aiming to secure a victory against the Chicago Cubs (79-59). The moneyline for this matchup indicates Atlanta at +150 and Chicago at -182, with an over/under set at 8.5 runs. The starting pitchers will be Bryce Elder for Atlanta and Cade Horton for Chicago.
Atlanta boasts a slugging percentage of .393 and has been struck out 1,196 times, while drawing 497 walks. With 590 RBIs and 1,148 total hits, their batting average stands at .244. The Braves have logged 210 doubles and 154 home runs. They’ve scored 610 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .321, averaging 4.4 runs per game, positioning them 15th in the league standings.
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Atlanta’s pitching staff has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.57 and a cumulative WHIP of 1.31. They have allowed 167 home runs and 628 runs (ranking 20th in MLB). The team has yielded 1,139 hits (averaging 8.4 hits per 9 innings) and a total of 596 earned runs. Their team ERA sits at 4.39 (22nd in the league) with 1,181 strikeouts. The pitching unit has issued 460 walks, accumulating a collective FIP of 4.25 this season.
The Braves’ relief pitchers have entered games with runners on base 143 times and have made 150 appearances in high-pressure situations. Their bullpen holds 58 holds this season (26th in MLB) and has a save rate of 58.7%, converting 27 out of 46 save opportunities while blowing 19 saves. They’ve inherited 190 runners throughout the year, allowing 38.4% to score. Atlanta has employed 443 relief pitchers this season.
The Athletics have recorded 3,666 putouts, 1,181 assists, and 48 errors, boasting a fielding percentage of .990, ranking 2nd in MLB. They have completed 93 double plays and have turned 70.1% of balls in play into outs throughout their 10,998 innings, placing them 13th in the league.
In his career, Elder has pitched 402 innings, achieving 320 strikeouts. Presently, he has an ERA of 4.70 (allowing 210 earned runs) with a WHIP of 1.380, permitting 405 hits (9.1 hits per 9 innings) and has issued 150 walks. Elder holds a career win-loss record of 21-22 and a FIP of 4.63 against 1,738 batters faced during his major league tenure.
On the other hand, the Chicago Cubs have accumulated 188 home runs and 667 RBIs while hitting 232 doubles and drawing 466 walks, scoring 683 runs this season. They maintain an OBP of .320 and a batting average of .250. The Cubs’ slugging percentage stands at .430, averaging 4.95 runs per game—ranking 4th in the league. They have struck out 1,066 times (27th in MLB) and totaled 1,175 hits.
Chicago’s pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.209 and a FIP of 4.19 for the season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 7.80 (1,056 strikeouts compared to 360 walks) and ranks 14th in the league for total hits allowed at 1,120. They have conceded 169 home runs and allow 4.15 runs per 9 innings (7th in MLB), overall allowing 565 runs with a team ERA of 3.88 (527 earned runs).
The Cubs’ bullpen has inherited 30.1% of 123 inherited base runners. They have made 136 high-leverage appearances and entered 89 times with runners on base. In 144 save opportunities, the Chicago bullpen boasts 90 holds and has incurred 15 blown saves, ranking 4th in MLB with a save rate of 70.6%. They have utilized 447 relief pitchers this season and recorded 36 saves in 51 save chances.
With 11,016 innings played, the Cubs exhibit defensive efficiency of 71.4% (3rd in MLB), having turned 107 double plays and holding a fielding percentage of .989 (5th in baseball). They have 1,155 assists, 56 errors, and 3,672 putouts this season.
As for Cade Horton, he has allowed 86 hits in 98 innings, striking out 81 batters. With a career win-loss record of 9-4, he possesses an earned run average of 2.93 while permitting 7.9 hits per nine innings. Horton has given up 32 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.191 and a FIP of 2.9. His career strikeout-to-walk ratio sits at 2.61 after facing 406 batters in the majors.
Who will come out on top in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Parlay’s Expert Prediction: Bet on Chicago (-182) and under 8.5 total runs
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