Atlanta Braves vs Cleveland Guardians Forecast, 8/15/2025 MLB Picks, Top Bets & Odds

Matchup: Atlanta Braves vs Cleveland Guardians

Scheduled Date: Friday, August 15, 2025

Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH

Broadcast: CLEGuardians.TV

Betting Odds: Atlanta (+110) Cleveland (-132)

The Atlanta Braves (52-68) will head to Progressive Field on Friday to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (62-57). The moneyline for this matchup shows the Braves at +110 while the Guardians are favored at -132. The total runs line is set at 8.5. Pitchers expected to take the mound are Erick Fedde and Joey Cantillo.

As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, ranking them 19th in the league. With a total of 515 runs scored, they maintain a team on-base percentage of .319. The Braves have registered 177 doubles and launched 135 home runs. They have accumulated 498 RBIs and 985 hits this season, reflecting a team batting average of .242. Atlanta’s slugging percentage stands at .392, with 1,044 strikeouts and 436 walks recorded.

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The Braves have a K/BB ratio of 2.62 and their pitchers currently have a WHIP of 1.30. This season, Atlanta’s pitching staff has allowed 140 home runs and a total of 536 runs (19th in MLB). They have issued 974 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 508 earned runs. Atlanta’s team ERA is 4.31 (23rd in the league), and they have struck out 1,052 batters. Opposing players have walked 402 times, with a FIP of 4.12 as a collective this season.

Braves pitchers have faced runners in scoring positions 125 times and have entered high-leverage situations 120 times. The relief corps has recorded 49 holds this season, ranking 27th in the league. The Braves’ save conversion rate is 54.3%, with 19 saves out of 35 opportunities, and they have allowed 38.2% of inherited runners to score. So far in this season, 388 relievers have taken the mound.

In the field, the Braves have converted 70.1% of batted balls into outs over 9,555 innings, ranking 14th in MLB. With 3,185 putouts, they also have 1,035 assists and 40 errors, leading to a .991 fielding percentage—the best in professional baseball—and they have turned 79 double plays.

Fedde (34-54 career record) possesses a FIP of 4.84 and has faced 3,249 batters in the MLB. He has surrendered 774 hits (9.3 hits per 9 innings) alongside 298 walks. His career ERA is 4.91 (408 earned runs allowed), and his WHIP stands at 1.434 over 747 innings pitched, with 576 strikeouts recorded.

The Cleveland Guardians post a team OBP of .300 and a batting average of .228 for the season. With 973 strikeouts (18th in baseball) and 891 hits, they have also hit 128 home runs and driven in 456 runs. The Guardians possess a slugging percentage of .378 and score an average of 3.98 runs per game (26th in the league). Additionally, they have recorded 180 doubles and achieved 376 walks while scoring 474 runs.

The Guardians’ pitching staff has allowed 501 runs with an overall ERA of 3.89 (458 earned runs). They have given up 130 homers, allowing 4.26 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB). The Guardians hold a WHIP of 1.305 and a FIP of 4.12 as a team, along with a K/BB ratio of 8.50 (1,003 strikeouts against 422 walks). They rank 8th in the league for total hits allowed with 960.

Cleveland has utilized relief pitchers in 51 save situations, totaling 35 saves, ranking 5th in MLB with a 68.6% save rate. This season, they have called upon 398 bullpen arms. Relief pitchers have participated in 140 high-leverage moments and made an appearance in 103 cases with runners on base. With a 35.7% inherited runner scoring rate from 143 inherited runners, the Guardians have 83 holds and 16 blown saves from 137 save opportunities.

The Cleveland Guardians have turned 88 double plays this season and boast a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in baseball), accumulating 974 assists, 80 errors, and 3,179 putouts. They have achieved a defensive efficiency rating of 69.7% across 9,537 innings played, placing them 17th in the league.

Cantillo has faced 431 batters in his professional career, yielding 89 hits and achieving 119 strikeouts across 99 innings. With 49 earned runs allowed, he maintains a WHIP of 1.370 and a FIP of 4.4. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.53, with a career record of 5-6 and an earned run average of 4.44, allowing 8.1 hits per 9 innings.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB contest either against the spread or on the moneyline?

Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Pick Cleveland (-132)

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