Matchup: Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins
Date: Monday, August 25, 2025
Venue: loanDepot park, Miami, FL
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Florida
Betting Odds: Atlanta (+162) Miami (-196)
This exciting encounter at loanDepot park features the Miami Marlins (60-67) clashing with the Atlanta Braves (58-69) this coming Monday. Betting odds indicate the Braves as underdogs at +162, while the Marlins are favored at -196. The over/under for this matchup is set at 8 runs, with Spencer Strider and Edward Cabrera expected to take the mound.
The Atlanta Braves have an average of 4.4 runs per game, placing them 15th in the league. They have scored a total of 557 runs, maintaining a team on-base percentage of .321. The team has recorded 191 doubles and sent 143 balls over the fence. This season, they have accumulated 537 RBIs from 1,057 hits, with a collective batting average of .245 and a slugging percentage of .394. However, they have struck out 1,098 times, while drawing 457 walks.
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The Braves maintain a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.62, and their pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.29. This season, Braves pitchers have allowed 147 home runs and 567 total runs (ranking 17th in the league). Atlanta has conceded 1,032 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and 537 earned runs, resulting in a team ERA of 4.30 (23rd in baseball) while striking out 1,110 batters. Their walk count stands at 423, with a FIP of 4.11 across the season.
The Braves’ bullpen has a save rate of 61.0%, entering 96 save situations. Relief pitchers have inherited 170 base runners, with 38.2% of those scoring. In high-pressure conditions, Braves relievers have been called upon 131 times, with a total of 408 relief appearances this year. The relief corps has achieved 55 holds (ranked 26th in baseball) and converted 25 out of 41 save opportunities successfully, while failing 16 times.
This year, the Braves have recorded 3,374 putouts, 1,091 assists, and 44 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .990—ranking second in the majors, along with 87 double plays. They convert 70.0% of plays into outs over 10,122 innings, placing them 14th in MLB.
Spencer Strider boasts an impressive career record of 37-21, logging 418 innings with 597 strikeouts. His FIP is noted at 3.79, and he has faced 1,733 hitters, maintaining a 3.85 earned run average (179 earned runs issued) and a WHIP of 1.150. He has allowed 336 hits (7.2 hits per 9 innings), with a total of 145 walks.
The Miami Marlins display a team slugging percentage of .396 and score an average of 4.32 runs per game (19th in MLB). They have hit 211 doubles, taken 385 walks, and recorded 549 runs. Additionally, the Marlins have swatted 124 home runs and driven in 525 runs while striking out 995 times (26th in league). Miami boasts a .315 on-base percentage and a .251 batting average for the season.
The Marlins have a staff WHIP of 1.298, coupled with a FIP of 4.11. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is impressive at 8.10 (1,007 strikeouts versus 389 walks). Collectively ranked 21st in hits allowed, they’ve given up 1,070 hits, 138 home runs, and 4.89 runs per 9 innings (24th in baseball), tallying 611 runs allowed for the season and a team ERA of 4.52 (with 565 earned runs allowed).
The Marlins’ bullpen has stepped in during 49 save opportunities, successfully converting 30 for a save rate of 61.2%, ranking 20th in the league. They have used 389 relief pitchers this season. Relievers have entered games under high leverage conditions 132 times, with runners on base on 94 occasions. Their inherited runner scoring percentage stands at 31.4% across 140 scenarios. This season, Miami has completed 85 double plays, while their fielding percentage sits at .986 (18th in MLB). Their statistical totals include 1,077 assists, 64 errors, and 3,373 putouts, with defensive efficiency rated at 69.7% over 10,119 innings (15th in professional baseball).
In his career, Edward Cabrera has allowed 333 hits with 454 strikeouts in 411 innings. He boasts a WHIP of 1.313 and a FIP of 4.0. With a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.19, Cabrera has faced 1,759 batters during his time on the mound with a 23-29 win-loss record, while holding an ERA of 4.09 and allowing 7.3 hits per 9 innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB face-off against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Choose Miami (-196)
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