Matchup: Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins
Date: Wednesday, August 27, 2025
Venue: loanDepot park in Miami, FL
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Florida
Betting Odds: Atlanta (+126) Miami (-152)
The Miami Marlins (62-69) host the Atlanta Braves (59-72) at loanDepot park this Wednesday. The odds indicate the Braves at +126 while the Marlins start at -152. The total run line has been established at 8. Starters for the matchup are Joey Wentz and Ryan Gusto.
The Braves have recorded a total of 197 doubles and have hit 145 home runs this season. Atlanta boasts a slugging percentage of .392 and has struck out 1,135 times while drawing walks 468 times. Averaging 4.4 runs per game, they rank 16th in MLB with 551 RBIs and 1,083 hits, coupled with a team batting average of .243. Overall, they have scored 571 runs and maintain an on-base percentage of .319.
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Atlanta’s pitching staff has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.31. They have allowed 156 home runs and surrendered 593 runs (21st in MLB) while yielding 1,074 hits (averaging 8.3 hits per 9 innings) and 563 earned runs. Their collective earned run average stands at 4.37 (22nd in baseball) and they have fanned 1,132 batters, with 440 walks and a FIP of 4.20 this season.
The Braves’ bullpen has a save success rate of 61.9% from 97 save opportunities. They have inherited 175 base runners this year, with 38.3% scoring. Atlanta’s bullpen has seen action 132 times with runners on base and has faced high-pressure situations in 135 instances. Their relief crew comprises 419 pitchers this season, accumulating 55 holds (26th in MLB). To date, they have achieved 26 saves out of 42 attempts, marking 16 blown saves.
Atlanta has successfully converted 70.0% of balls put in play into outs over their 10,437 innings, ranking them 15th among Major League teams. The Athletics have made 3,479 putouts this season, along with 1,122 assists and 46 errors. Their fielding percentage is a commendable .990, placing them 2nd in baseball, with a total of 90 double plays.
Wentz has logged 277 innings in his career, amassing 260 strikeouts. He carries an earned run average of 5.49 and a WHIP of 1.512, having surrendered 292 hits and issuing 127 walks. With a career record of 10-21, he owns a FIP of 5.40, having faced 1,249 hitters in the majors.
The Miami Marlins hold an on-base percentage of .314, along with a .249 batting average this season. They have been struck out 1,032 times (26th in baseball) and recorded 1,114 hits. Miami has also knocked out 128 home runs this year, driving in 540 RBIs. Their slugging percentage is .395 and they average 4.31 runs per game (19th in MLB). Additionally, they have tallied 215 doubles, drawn 394 walks, and scored a total of 564 runs.
On the pitching side, the Marlins have allowed 627 runs with an ERA of 4.47 (578 earned runs). They have conceded 142 home runs while averaging 4.85 runs per inning (24th in baseball). The Miami pitching unit has a WHIP of 1.289 and a FIP of 4.13. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.00 (1,031 strikeouts against 402 walks) and they rank 21st in MLB for total hits allowed, at 1,097.
The Marlins have utilized their bullpen in 51 save situations, successfully converting 32 saves, which puts them 17th in the league with a 62.7% save rate. Their relief staff has seen action 402 times this season, faced high leverage situations 141 times, and played 100 times with players on base. Out of 147 inherited runners, 32.0% have scored, while they have notched 71 holds and 19 blown saves from 123 save chances.
With 91 double plays turned, the Miami Marlins currently maintain a fielding percentage of .986 (17th in MLB). Thus far, the Marlins have recorded 1,126 assists, 65 errors, and 3,490 putouts in their 10,470 innings, yielding a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (14th in professional baseball).
Throughout his career, Gusto has yielded 106 hits while collecting 95 strikeouts over 98 innings. Gusto holds a career record of 7-6 with an earned run average of 5.05, having allowed 9.7 hits per 9 innings. He has permitted 55 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.398 and a FIP of 5.0. His strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 3.06 after facing 429 hitters in his career.
Who will emerge victorious tonight in this MLB matchup, either against the spread or on the moneyline?
Tony Sink’s Prediction: Choose Miami (-152)
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