Matchup: Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins
Date: Tuesday, August 26, 2025
Venue: loanDepot park, Miami, FL
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Florida
Betting Lines: Atlanta (+220) Miami (-275)
On Tuesday, the Miami Marlins (61-69) will face off against the Atlanta Braves (59-71) at loanDepot park. The moneyline for this match sees the Braves at +220 and the Marlins at -275, with the total runs set at 8.5. Scheduled to pitch are Hurston Waldrep for the Braves and Sandy Alcantara for the Marlins.
The Atlanta Braves have been scoring an average of 4.4 runs per game, placing them 15th in the league. They have accumulated a total of 570 runs with an on-base percentage of .320. The team has recorded 196 doubles and hit 144 home runs, totaling 550 RBIs and 1,080 hits this season, resulting in a collective batting average of .244. They also hold a slugging percentage of .393, with 1,123 strikeouts and 466 walks.
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The Braves possess a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.57, with a collective WHIP of 1.31 across their pitching roster. They have surrendered 155 home runs and 591 runs total this season (ranking 21st in MLB). Atlanta’s pitching staff has given up 1,070 hits (8.4 hits per game) and 561 earned runs, leading to an earned run average of 4.38 (23rd in baseball) while recording 1,127 strikeouts. They have issued 438 walks, with a team FIP of 4.19.
Braves relief pitchers have faced players on base 132 times and entered 135 high-leverage situations. They’ve accumulated 55 holds this year (26th in the league) and have a save rate of 61.9%, with 97 save opportunities. The team has achieved 26 saves out of 42 chances, and 38.3% of the 175 inherited runners scored. A total of 418 relievers have taken the mound this season.
Defensively, the Braves have converted 69.9% of balls in play into outs over 10,365 innings, placing them at 15th in the majors. The team has recorded 3,455 putouts, 1,116 assists, and 46 errors for a .990 fielding percentage, ranking 2nd in baseball with 89 double plays.
Waldrep (4-1 career record) boasts a FIP of 4.26, having faced 125 batters in the majors. He has allowed 22 hits (6.3 hits per 9 innings) and issued 14 walks. His earned run average stands at 4.33 (15 earned runs allowed) with a WHIP of 1.154. In his career, Waldrep has pitched 31 innings and struck out 27 hitters.
The Miami Marlins have hit 127 home runs this season and recorded 538 RBIs. They have 214 doubles, walked 392 times, and scored 562 runs, holding an on-base percentage of .314 and a batting average of .250. With a team slugging percentage of .395, they average 4.32 runs per game (19th overall) and have struck out 1,027 times (24th in the league) with 1,110 base hits.
The Marlins’ pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.294 and a FIP of 4.13. They maintain a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 7.90 (1,019 strikeouts vs. 400 walks) and rank 22nd in total hits allowed with 1,093. They’ve surrendered 141 home runs and allow 4.88 runs per 9 innings (24th in the league). So far this season, the Marlins’ pitchers have permitted 626 runs and have a team ERA of 4.50 (577 earned runs allowed).
Miami’s bullpen holds a 32.2% inherited score percentage out of 146 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have been active in 138 high-leverage situations and 99 times with runners on base. In 120 save opportunities, they’ve secured 69 holds and encountered 19 blown saves. Currently ranked 20th in the league for save percentage at 62.0%, they have used 399 relievers this season and have recorded 31 saves in 50 attempts.
With 10,389 innings played, the Marlins have a defensive efficiency rating of 69.9% (14th in MLB). The team has completed 91 double plays and holds a fielding percentage of .986 (18th in baseball). They’ve made 1,119 assists, committed 66 errors, and recorded 3,463 putouts this season.
In his MLB career, Alcantara has surrendered 905 hits while achieving 895 strikeouts over 1,034 innings. With a career win-loss record of 48-66, he maintains a 3.67 earned run average, allowing 7.9 hits per 9 innings. Alcantara has yielded 422 earned runs, has a WHIP of 1.186, and a FIP of 3.6. His strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.78 as he has faced 4,266 hitters throughout his pro baseball career.
Who will come out on top in tonight’s MLB encounter against the spread or moneyline?
Tony Sink’s Pick: Bet on Miami (-275)
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