Matchup: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets
Event Date: Thursday, August 14, 2025
Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
Broadcast: Sportsnet New York
Betting Odds: Atlanta (+220) New York (-275)
The Atlanta Braves (51-68) will be heading to Citi Field on Thursday to face the New York Mets (64-55). The moneyline for this matchup has the Braves at +220, while the Mets are favored at -275. The total runs have been set at 8, with Bryce Elder and Kodai Senga taking the mound.
The Atlanta Braves have averaged 4.2 runs per game this season, placing them 21st in the league. They have tallied a total of 499 runs, boasting a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .318. Collectively, the Braves have hit 173 doubles and launched 133 home runs, accumulating 482 RBIs and generating 969 hits so far this year, with a batting average of .242. Their slugging percentage is .392, and they have struck out 1,025 times while drawing 423 walks.
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The Braves have posted a team ERA of 4.21 this season, ranking 21st in the league, striking out a total of 1,039 batters. They’ve surrendered 133 home runs and allowed a total of 517 runs (17th in baseball). The pitching staff has issued 393 walks, holding a FIP of 4.04. Atlanta has given up 946 hits (8.2 per 9 innings), resulting in 489 earned runs. The strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.64 with a collective WHIP of 1.28.
The Braves’ relief pitchers have a save rate of 54.3% from 83 opportunities. This season, they have inherited 163 runners, with 38.7% scoring. With 381 relief appearances, the bullpen has recorded 48 holds (27th in the league) and secured 19 saves, blowing 16 of 35 save chances.
The Braves have made 3,134 putouts, with 1,016 assists and 40 errors, achieving a fielding percentage of .990, ranking 2nd in the majors. They have completed 77 double plays and converted 70.2% of balls in play into outs over 9,402 innings, placing them 13th across MLB.
On the mound, Elder has pitched 378 innings in his career, accumulating 302 strikeouts with an ERA of 4.69 (allowing 197 earned runs). His WHIP stands at 1.394 with 385 hits allowed (averaging 9.2 hits per 9 innings) and 142 walks. He holds a career record of 20-22, facing 1,637 batters in the majors with a FIP of 4.62.
The New York Mets possess a team slugging percentage of .406, scoring an average of 4.35 runs per game (16th in MLB). They have hit 184 doubles, drawn 408 walks, and scored 513 runs. With 147 home runs this season, they also sit with 498 RBIs. The team has struck out 949 times (20th in the league) and recorded 938 hits, maintaining an OBP of .318 and a batting average of .239.
New York’s pitching unit has allowed 483 runs this season, compiling an ERA of 3.70 (430 earned runs). They have conceded 108 home runs and hold an impressive average of allowing 4.16 runs per 9 innings (8th in baseball). Their combined WHIP is 1.310, while the team’s FIP stands at 3.90 with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.39 (1,003 strikeouts to 420 walks). They rank 11th in the league for hits allowed, with a total of 950.
The Mets’ bullpen has been called upon in 54 save situations, converting 34 saves for a save percentage of 63.0%, ranking 15th in the league. They have sent 390 relief pitchers onto the field this season, with 148 high-leverage appearances and 127 with runners on base. Their inherited runner scoring percentage is 34.0% out of 188 inherited situations. This season, the Mets have earned 78 holds and suffered 20 blown saves out of 132 save situations.
On defense, the Mets have turned 87 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (14th in the league), accumulating 1,068 assists, 57 errors, and 3,138 putouts. Their defensive efficiency stands at 69.6% over 9,414 innings of play (17th in MLB).
In his professional career, Senga has allowed 198 hits while striking out 299 batters across 265 innings. Senga (20-11 career record) boasts a 2.75 ERA, allowing only 6.7 hits per nine innings. He has conceded 81 earned runs and maintained a WHIP of 1.218 with a FIP of 2.7. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.39, having faced 1,105 hitters in his career.
Who will come out on top in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Pick: Back Atlanta (+220)
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