Matchup: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets
Date: Wednesday, August 13, 2025
Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
Broadcast: Sportsnet New York
Betting Odds: Atlanta (+162) New York (-196)
On Wednesday, the New York Mets (63-55) will host the Atlanta Braves (51-67) at Citi Field. Current betting odds list the Braves at +162 while the Mets are favored at -196. The total for the game is set at 9 runs, with Carlos Carrasco and David Peterson likely taking the mound.
As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are averaging 4.2 runs per game, placing them 21st in the league. This season, they have tallied 499 runs and a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .318. The Braves have recorded 173 doubles and launched 133 home runs, racking up 482 RBIs along with 969 total hits, resulting in a team batting average of .242. Their slugging percentage stands at .392, having struck out 1,025 times and walked 423.
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The Braves have recorded a team ERA of 4.21 this year (ranked 21st in MLB) and their pitchers have amassed 1,039 strikeouts. Atlanta’s pitching staff has given up 133 home runs and 517 total runs, ranking them 18th in the league. They have issued 393 walks, and their Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) stands at 4.05. The pitching unit has allowed 946 hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and a total of 489 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.64, while their WHIP rests at 1.28.
Braves’ relief pitchers have entered games with opponents on base 123 times and have faced pressure in high-leverage situations 120 times. They have accumulated 48 holds this season (27th in MLB) while achieving a 54.3% save rate in 83 save opportunities, resulting in 19 saves and 16 blown saves. Additionally, they have inherited 163 runners, with 38.7% of those scoring. This season, the Braves have utilized 381 relief pitchers.
Defensively, the Braves have converted 70.2% of batted balls into outs over their 9,402 innings, which places them 12th in the majors. They have recorded 3,134 putouts, 1,016 assists, and committed 40 errors, leading to a .990 fielding percentage—second in MLB—and 77 double plays.
Carlos Carrasco has pitched 1,684 innings throughout his MLB career, striking out 1,694 batters. Carrasco has a career record of 112-105 with a FIP of 4.14, having faced 7,058 opposing batters. His earned run average (ERA) is 4.20, with 786 earned runs allowed and a career WHIP of 1.266. He has surrendered 1,667 hits, averaging 8.9 hits per nine innings, along with 465 walks.
The New York Mets posted an OBP of .318, coupled with a batting average of .239 for the season. They have struck out 949 times (19th in the league) and recorded 938 total hits. The Mets have belted 147 home runs and accumulated 498 RBIs, contributing to an overall slugging percentage of .406, which leads to an average of 4.35 runs scored per game (16th in MLB). They’ve made 184 doubles and drawn 408 walks.
The Mets have a WHIP of 1.310 and their team FIP is 3.90 for the current year. Ranked 12th in the league, they have allowed 950 hits and given up 483 runs this season, with a 3.70 ERA (430 earned runs allowed). They leverage a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 8.60 (1,003 strikeouts versus 420 walks) and have surrendered 108 home runs, allowing 4.16 runs per nine innings (ninth in MLB).
Mets’ bullpen pitchers have inherited 34.0% of their 188 runners. They have entered high-leverage situations 148 times and faced runners on base 127 occasions. With 132 save opportunities, they’ve managed to secure 78 holds while enduring 20 blown saves. Their current save rate stands at 63.0%, placing them 15th in the league, and they have designated 390 pitchers to the bullpen this season. This year, New York has successfully converted 34 of 54 save chances into saves.
In the field, the Mets have achieved a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (17th in MLB) over their 9,414 innings. Additionally, they have executed 87 double plays and possess a fielding percentage of .987 (14th in professional baseball), with 1,068 assists, 57 errors, and 3,138 putouts this season.
Through his career, David Peterson has yielded 546 hits while accumulating 576 strikeouts across 587 innings. He has allowed 250 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.342 and a FIP of 3.8. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is noted at 2.38, having faced 2,500 opposing hitters over his professional baseball career. Peterson holds a career record of 35-29 with a 3.83 ERA, permitting 8.4 hits per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Back Atlanta (+162)
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