Matchup: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies
Date: Saturday, August 30, 2025
Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Broadcast: NBC Sports Philadelphia
Betting Odds: Atlanta (+150) Philadelphia (-182)
The Atlanta Braves (61-72) are set to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (76-57) this Saturday at Citizens Bank Park. Atlanta comes into this matchup with a moneyline of +150, while Philadelphia is positioned at -182. The game’s over/under is set at 8.5 runs, featuring starting pitchers Chris Sale and Cristopher Sanchez.
Currently, the Braves boast a slugging percentage of .396 with a total of 1,151 strikeouts while walking 483 times. They have tallied 574 runs batted in and 1,105 hits this season, resulting in a batting average of .244. As a team, the Braves have hit 202 doubles and launched 152 home runs, scoring a total of 594 runs with an on-base percentage of .321. On average, the Braves are producing 4.5 runs per game, placing them 14th in the league.
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The Braves are holding a team earned run average of 4.33 (22nd in the league) and have struck out 1,141 hitters this season. Their pitching staff has given up 156 home runs and a total of 596 runs (ranked 19th in the league), along with issuing 444 walks and a team FIP of 4.18. Atlanta has allowed 1,091 hits (an average of 8.3 per 9 innings) and 566 earned runs, resulting in a K/BB ratio of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.30.
Braves pitchers have faced runners on base 134 times and have appeared in 138 high-leverage situations. The bullpen has recorded 56 holds this season (26th in the majors). Atlanta’s save conversion rate stands at 60.5%, with 99 save opportunities resulting in 26 successful saves and 17 blown saves. This season, the Braves have inherited 177 base runners, with 37.9% scoring for the opponent. A total of 424 relievers have been dispatched to the mound this year.
Defensively, the Braves have converted 70.0% of balls in play into outs over 10,599 innings, ranking 15th in the league. They have achieved 3,533 putouts, 1,145 assists, and committed 47 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .990—2nd in professional baseball—with 92 double plays recorded.
Pitcher Chris Sale has logged 2,047 innings in his career, striking out 2,528 hitters with an ERA of 3.02 (686 earned runs). His WHIP stands at 1.050, allowing 1,668 hits (7.3 per 9 innings) and walking 481 batters. With a career record of 143-87, his FIP is 2.97 facing 8,249 opposing hitters.
The Phillies enjoy a slugging percentage of .420 and average 4.70 runs per game (9th in the league). They have achieved 220 doubles and drawn 434 walks, resulting in 625 total runs. Philadelphia has hit 161 home runs and gathered 600 RBIs, facing 1,069 strikeouts (20th in the league) and amassing 1,160 hits. The team holds an on-base percentage of .326 and a batting average of .256 this season.
On the mound, the Phillies have a WHIP of 1.243 and a FIP of 3.66. They rank 20th in total hits allowed (1,107) and have given up 541 runs with an ERA of 3.85 (505 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio is impressive at 9.30 (1,224 strikeouts against 359 walks). With 144 home runs allowed, the Phillies yield 4.13 runs per 9 innings, placing them 6th in Major League Baseball.
With 123 save opportunities, the Phillies have achieved 65 holds and experienced 20 blown saves. Their bullpen has stepped up in 56 save chances, achieving 36 saves. Philadelphia’s relievers have entered high leverage situations 137 times, with a 33.6% inheritance scoring rate from 131 inherited runners. They rank 8th in MLB with a save rate of 64.3%, deploying 413 bullpen pitchers this season.
Defensively, the Phillies have executed 82 double plays and maintain a .989 fielding percentage (3rd in the majors). With 1,138 assists and 51 errors, their tally of putouts stands at 3,538 over 10,614 innings played, resulting in a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (25th in the majors).
Throughout his MLB career, Cristopher Sanchez has allowed 466 base hits, recording 470 strikeouts in 495 innings. He has given up 185 earned runs, holds a WHIP of 1.193, and a FIP of 3.3. His K/BB ratio is an impressive 3.76, facing 2,049 batters with a career record of 28-21 and an ERA of 3.36 while allowing 8.5 hits per 9 innings.
Who will emerge as the victor in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Bet on Atlanta (+150)
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