Matchup: Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Event Date: Sunday, July 13, 2025
Venue: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Midwest
Betting Odds: Atlanta (+150), St. Louis (-182)
On Sunday, the St. Louis Cardinals (50-44) will take on the Atlanta Braves (40-52) at Busch Stadium. The betting odds list Atlanta at +150 while St. Louis stands at -182. The over/under for this matchup is set at 9 runs, with Davis Daniel and Sonny Gray as the starting pitchers.
The Atlanta Braves are currently averaging 4.0 runs per game, ranking them 23rd in the league. Overall, the team has recorded 371 runs and boasts an on-base percentage (OBP) of .314. The Braves have tallied 129 doubles and launched 100 home runs this season, resulting in 358 runs batted in and 753 hits, with a team batting average of .241. Atlanta’s slugging percentage stands at .385, and the team has struck out 791 times while drawing 314 walks.
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The Braves pitching staff carries a team ERA of 3.82, placing them 13th in the league, and they have struck out 854 batters. This season, Braves pitchers have conceded 106 home runs and 370 total runs, ranking 10th in baseball. They have issued 296 walks, resulting in a collective FIP of 3.91. Atlanta has allowed 712 base hits (averaging 7.9 per 9 innings) and 346 earned runs. The team’s strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.89, with a WHIP of 1.24.
The Atlanta bullpen has a save rate of 48.0% from 57 save opportunities. Relief pitchers have inherited 127 runners this season, with 35.4% scoring. Braves relievers have entered games with runners on base 95 times and have made 89 high-leverage appearances. In total, 289 relief pitchers have taken the mound for Atlanta, resulting in 32 holds (30th in baseball). The bullpen has notched 12 saves, with 13 blown opportunities out of 25.
This season, the Braves have made 2,444 putouts, 798 assists, and committed 32 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .990, ranking 2nd in the majors. They have turned 64 double plays and converted 70.4% of balls in play into outs over 7,332 innings, standing 14th in the league.
Davis Daniel has pitched 43 innings, recording 38 strikeouts in his career with a 5.00 ERA (24 earned runs allowed) and a WHIP of 1.412. He has permitted 46 hits (9.6 hits per 9 innings) and issued 15 walks. Daniel has a career record of 2-5 and a FIP of 4.93, having faced 190 batters at the Major League level.
The St. Louis Cardinals have scored 408 runs batted in and hit 94 home runs this season. They have recorded 162 doubles, drawn 293 walks, and scored a total of 428 runs. The team has an OBP of .321 and a batting average of .252, with a slugging percentage of .394, averaging 4.55 runs per game (ranking 12th in MLB). The Cardinals struck out 731 times (24th in baseball) and achieved 801 base hits.
The Cardinals pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.267 and a FIP of 3.84, with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 7.30 (677 strikeouts and 259 walks). Currently, they rank 23rd in total hits allowed, with 797. The team has allowed 87 home runs, surrendering 4.43 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league). This season, the St. Louis pitchers have allowed 410 runs, resulting in an ERA of 4.07 (with 377 earned runs).
St. Louis has called on relief pitchers for 36 save opportunities, successfully securing 23 saves. They rank 13th in the league with a save percentage of 63.9% and have utilized 279 relievers this season. St. Louis relievers have entered 98 high-pressure situations and 91 times with runners on base. The inherited runner score percentage is 35.8% from 123 inherited runners. The Cardinals have accumulated 55 holds and recorded 13 blown saves across 94 save situations.
In a total of 7,503 innings, the Cardinals have achieved a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (15th in professional baseball). St. Louis has turned 68 double plays with a .990 fielding percentage (ranking 3rd in the majors), having recorded 918 assists, 34 errors, and 2,501 putouts this season.
Sonny Gray (career record: 120-97) possesses a 3.51 ERA and has conceded 7.7 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.05, and he has faced 7,619 batters throughout his career. Gray has allowed 718 earned runs while maintaining a WHIP of 1.187 and a FIP of 3.5. Over his MLB tenure, Gray has permitted 1,585 hits, with 1,837 strikeouts across 1,842 innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB face-off against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Take Atlanta (+150)
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