Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Prediction for 9/16/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Home » Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Prediction for 9/16/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Matchup: Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals

Event Date: Tuesday, September 16, 2025

Venue: Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.

Broadcast: MASN

Betting Odds: Atlanta (-275) Washington (+220)

This matchup at Nationals Park sees the Washington Nationals (62-87) going up against the Atlanta Braves (66-83) on Tuesday. The moneyline for this game positions the Braves at -275 while the Nationals are at +220. The total runs are set at 9, with Chris Sale and Jake Irvin likely to take the mound.

MLB Predictions: Brady House for the Washington Nationals

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The Braves have accumulated 222 doubles and recorded 167 home runs as a team. They have a slugging percentage of .391, with 1,271 strikeouts against 517 walks. Atlanta averages 4.3 runs per game, placing them 17th in the MLB. They have 625 RBIs and 1,224 hits this season, holding a batting average of .242 and an on-base percentage of .316, scoring 646 runs.

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The Braves possess a team ERA of 4.46, ranking 22nd in the league, with a total of 1,291 strikeouts this season. Their pitchers have allowed 183 home runs and 692 runs (21st in MLB). They have walked 497 hitters, resulting in a FIP of 4.27. Atlanta has released 1,241 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) and allowed 654 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.60 with a WHIP of 1.32.

Braves’ relief pitchers are operating with a save rate of 59.2% across 110 save opportunities. They have seen 204 inherited runners, of which 39.7% have scored. The relief crew has been summoned with runners on base 151 times, alongside 156 high-leverage appearances. Atlanta has used 479 relief pitchers this year, earning 61 holds (28th in the league) and 29 saves from 49 chances, while blowing 20 saves.

In terms of defense, the Braves convert 69.8% of balls in play into outs across 11,880 innings, ranking 18th in MLB. They have achieved 3,960 putouts, 1,260 assists, and 53 errors, maintaining a fielding percentage of .990, placing them second in MLB with a total of 97 double plays.

Chris Sale has pitched 2,065 innings in his career, accumulating 2,555 strikeouts with a 3.01 ERA (691 earned runs). His career WHIP stands at 1.048, allowing 1,682 hits (7.3 hits per 9 innings) and issuing 483 walks. With a career record of 143-88, Sale has faced 8,317 batters, holding a FIP of 2.97.

The Nationals are recording a slugging percentage of .389, scoring an average of 4.28 runs per game (20th in MLB). They have 245 doubles, 637 runs scored, and 142 home runs this season, collecting 612 RBIs. The team has struck out 1,210 times (23rd in MLB) and logged 1,215 hits while maintaining an OBP of .307 and a batting average of .244.

On the pitching side, Washington holds a collective WHIP of 1.431 and a FIP of 4.69 for the season, ranking 29th in total hits allowed with 1,350. The Nationals’ pitching staff has given up 811 runs this year, with an ERA of 5.28 (766 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 7.80 (1,139 strikeouts to 519 walks), allowing 192 home runs and surrendering 5.59 runs per 9 innings (29th in MLB).

Nationals’ relief pitchers have inherited 250 base runners, with a scoring rate of 40.0%. They have pitched in high-leverage situations 118 times and with runners on base 146 times. This season, Washington has recorded 69 holds and 17 blown saves out of 120 save opportunities, ranking 7th in the league with a save percentage of 66.0%, deploying 531 relievers this year. They have converted 33 saves from 50 opportunities.

Defensively, the Nationals have turned 118 double plays and posted a .984 fielding percentage (24th in MLB). They have 1,277 assists, 85 errors, and 3,919 putouts for the season. Across 11,757 innings, their defensive efficiency stands at 68.3% (26th in major league baseball).

Jake Irvin, with a career record of 21-33, has an ERA of 4.92, allowing 8.9 hits per 9 innings. His career strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.23, facing 2,013 batters, giving up 257 earned runs, while holding a WHIP of 1.337 and a FIP of 4.8. To date, Irvin has surrendered 466 hits and achieved 363 strikeouts in 470 innings pitched.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB contest against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink’s Prediction: Bet on Atlanta (-275)

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