- Matchup: Atlanta Falcons vs New England Patriots
- Date: Sunday, November 2, 2025
- Venue: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
- Broadcasting: CBS
- Betting Odds: Patriots favored by 5.5 points
- Total Points Over-Under: 45
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On Sunday, the New England Patriots (6-2) are set to face off against the Atlanta Falcons (3-4) at the renowned Gillette Stadium. According to Las Vegas oddsmakers, the Falcons are beginning the contest as 5.5-point underdogs, with the over-under line set at 45 points.
The Atlanta Falcons enter this matchup with a season record of 3-4. In their previous game, they suffered a defeat against the Miami Dolphins, ending with a score of 34-10. Quarterback Kirk Cousins completed 21 out of 31 passes for 173 yards, achieving a QB rating of 81.8 without any interceptions. Kyle Pitts averaged 6.6 yards per reception, recording 59 yards on 9 catches. Running back Bijan Robinson led the rushing attack with 9 carries for 25 yards (2.8 yards per attempt). The Falcons managed only 213 total yards on 48 plays, running the ball 17 times for 45 yards, averaging 2.6 yards per carry. Defensively, they conceded 141 rushing yards on 37 attempts, averaging 3.8 yards per rush, and allowed 21 completions on 27 attempts for 197 yards, resulting in a completion percentage of 77.8%.
Throughout the season, the Falcons have accumulated a total of 2,399 yards. The team has achieved 76 first downs and faced 41 penalties for a total loss of 306 yards. Atlanta has recorded 5 touchdowns through the air and 7 on the ground, while turning the ball over 7 times (3 interceptions and 4 fumbles). In terms of rushing, they rank 11th in the league with an average of 123.3 rushing yards per game. The Falcons are scoring an average of 17.1 points per game.
When it comes to passing defense, the Falcons have allowed 1,044 yards, giving them a top ranking in the NFL. They have surrendered an average of 149.1 yards per game through the air with a completion rate of 61.7%. For the season, Atlanta has given up a total of 885 rushing yards, along with 11 passing touchdowns and 4 rushing touchdowns. Overall, they are conceding an average of 275.6 yards per game, placing them 2nd in the league, and allowing 4.6 yards per rushing attempt at an average of 126.4 rushing yards per game. They currently rank 13th in the league in terms of points allowed, averaging 22.0 points per game.
The New England Patriots arrive with a strong record of 6-2 this season. In their last outing, the Patriots emerged victorious against the Cleveland Browns, securing a 32-13 win. Quarterback Drake Maye threw for 282 yards, completing 18 of 24 passes with 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, leading to a QB rating of 135.8. One of his standout receivers, Mack Hollins, recorded 7 receptions for 89 yards (averaging 12.7 yards per catch). Running back TreVeyon Henderson also made an impact with 10 carries for 75 yards, averaging 7.5 yards per rush. New England compiled a total of 422 offensive yards while running 59 plays at an average of 7.2 yards per play. In the rushing game, they averaged 5.1 yards per carry, finishing with 177 yards on 35 carries. Defensively, the Patriots allowed 68 yards on 16 rushing attempts, while the secondary gave up 145 yards on 21 completions out of 35 attempts, resulting in a completion percentage of 60.0%.
The Patriots boast an average of 353.1 total yards per game, placing them 10th in the NFL rankings. They have an average of 112.6 rushing yards per game and have accumulated a total of 901 rushing yards. They’ve thrown 3 interceptions and have lost 6 fumbles, while achieving 94 first downs on offense. Defensively, they have allowed 501 yards due to 65 penalties, ranking 3rd in the league in terms of penalties against them. Over the season, the Patriots have thrown for 1,924 yards, averaging 240.5 passing yards per game, which ranks 9th in the NFL for passing efficiency. In terms of scoring, the Patriots are 8th in the league, averaging 26.6 points per game.
Defensively, the Patriots are allowing only 18.3 points per game, positioning them 4th in the NFL. They have given up 12 passing touchdowns and an average of 224.4 passing yards per game, ranking them 19th in the league in that category. Additionally, they’ve allowed a total of 608 rushing yards (76.0 per game) and 3 rushing touchdowns this season. Defensively, the Patriots have been on the field for 443 plays, placing them 10th in the league. They have forced 11 turnovers (4 fumbles and 7 interceptions) over the season, conceding a total of 146 points.
Who do you believe will prevail in this NFL Falcons vs. Patriots matchup against the spread?
Prediction: Bet on the Patriots -5.5
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