Atlanta Hawks and Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction for 12/29/2025: Preview and Pick

Home » Atlanta Hawks and Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction for 12/29/2025: Preview and Pick

  • Matchup: Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Date: Monday, December 29, 2025
  • Venue: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
  • Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network

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On Monday, the Oklahoma City Thunder (26-5) will aim to overcome the Atlanta Hawks (15-16) at the Paycom Center.

NBA Picks Jalen Johnson Atlanta Hawks Predictions Best Bet Odds

In their latest matchup, the Hawks faced the Bulls, ultimately suffering a close defeat with a score of 126-123. The Hawks committed 20 personal fouls compared to the Bulls’ 16. From beyond the arc, Atlanta made 13 of 39 attempts. Meanwhile, Chicago shot 75.0% from the free-throw line, converting 21 of 28 attempts. The Bulls also secured 48 rebounds (9 offensive and 39 defensive) and recorded 7 blocks. In the assist department, Chicago tallied 35 assists and snatched 3 steals. Defensively, the Hawks allowed their opponents to shoot 50.5% from the floor, with Chicago going 46 for 91. Atlanta managed 22 assists, forced 5 turnovers, and garnered 3 steals. On the boards, they totaled 38 rebounds, 6 of which came on the offensive end. From the charity stripe, the Hawks achieved a 65.0% success rate, making 13 of 20 shots. Overall, Atlanta recorded a field goal percentage of 50.5% (48 of 95) while making 14 of 42 three-point attempts.

Jalen Johnson proved to be a key player, scoring 24 points with 11 out of 23 shooting. He logged 39 minutes on the court and grabbed 9 rebounds while providing 10 assists, shooting at 47.8% efficiency overall.

The Hawks enter this game with a record of 15-16. They average 15.2 turnovers per game and commit 20.6 fouls per contest. As a unit, Atlanta collects 41.6 rebounds per game and has tallied 965 assists this season, placing them first in the league for assists. The Hawks have a three-point shooting percentage of 36.9% (435 of 1,180) and a free-throw percentage of 78.6%. They score an average of 118.8 points per game (12th in the league) while shooting 48.3% from the field.

Defensively, the Hawks force 16.2 turnovers per game and average 19.2 personal fouls. They allow opponents to shoot 36.2% from three-point range and rank 24th in points allowed per game (119.6). The Hawks give up a field goal percentage of 47.9% (1,336 of 2,792) and average 45.5 rebounds per game, ranking 27th in the league for assists allowed (865 conceded this season).

Most recently, the Thunder lost to the Spurs, 117-102. In that game, Oklahoma City allowed San Antonio to grab 49 rebounds (10 offensive). The Thunder made 37.9% of their three-point attempts (11 of 29) and shot 76.2% from the free-throw line (16 of 21). San Antonio achieved 53.6% shooting from the field, making 45 of 84 shots. At the end of this matchup, Oklahoma City finished with 37 of 95 from the field, shooting at a rate of 38.9%. From beyond the arc, they made 11 of 44 attempts (25.0%). The Thunder went to the free-throw line 25 times, converting 17 (68.0%). The Spurs committed 22 fouls, leading to 11 turnovers for Oklahoma City and 5 steals during the game. The Thunder secured 32 defensive boards and 16 offensive rebounds for a total of 48.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had a noteworthy performance, scoring 22 points on 7 of 19 shooting (36.8%) with 6 rebounds and 4 assists in 36 minutes of play.

With a current record of 26-5, the Thunder commit 20.9 fouls per game and enjoy an 83.3% free-throw shooting rate. Their assist average sits at 25.8 per game (17th in the league) and they turn the ball over 12.5 times per contest. This season, Oklahoma City has scored 3,760 points (121.3 per game) and averages 44.7 rebounds.

Oklahoma City’s defense is the best in the league, allowing just 107.4 points per game. They force opponents into an average of 17.8 turnovers per game and have restricted teams to a field goal percentage of 43.4% (1st in basketball). The Thunder allow 36.9% shooting from three-point range (437 of 1,185) and opponents are sinking 75.8% of their free throws. They concede an average of 24.0 assists and total 44.0 rebounds per game, ranking 2nd and 14th in the league, respectively.

Who will cover the spread in tonight’s NBA game?

Pick: Back Atlanta

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Pick: Atlanta Hawks
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