Austin FC vs. St. Louis CITY SC Preview, 10/4/2025 Soccer Predictions, Tips, and Odds

• Matchup: Austin FC vs St. Louis CITY SC
• Date of Event: Saturday, October 4, 2025
• Venue: Q2 Stadium, Austin, TX
• Broadcast: MLS Season Pass

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Austin FC (12-8-11) aims to secure a victory against CITY (7-7-18) at Q2 Stadium in Austin, TX this Saturday. Austin FC is favored at -275, while St. Louis holds odds of +220. The total goals over/under is set at 3. Goalkeepers expected to start include Brad Stuver for Austin and Roman Burki for St. Louis.

Austin FC ranks 27th in expected goals with 39.9 and has an expected goals against (xGA) of 43.9. The team has conceded 40 goals, averaging 1.29 goals against per 90 minutes, with opponents recording 151 shots on target. Their goal differential stands at -6, having scored 34 while allowing 40. With 8 clean sheets this season, their clean sheet percentage is 25.8%. Austin has also made 112 saves, achieving a save rate of 73.5%. This season, they have accumulated 67 yellow cards and 1 red card, averaging 1.42 points per game (44 total points), placing them 26th in Major League Soccer with only 25 assists.

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For St. Louis CITY SC, their save percentage is 68.0% with 172 shots on target faced, placing them 25th in MLS with 28 points. Currently, St. Louis averages 0.9 points per match with a total of 27 assists and 4 red cards. The team has scored 39 goals, while their expected goals tally is at 45.9. Their clean sheet percentage is only 18.8%, alongside 63 yellow cards issued. They concede about 1.72 goals per 90 minutes, totaling 118 saves and managing 6 shutouts. St. Louis ranks 24th in goals against, with 55 conceded, resulting in a goal differential of -16.

Brad Stuver will defend the nets for Austin FC. Stuver has logged 15,398 minutes on the field, recording 624 saves throughout his career. His record stands at 63 wins, 39 losses, and 70 draws, boasting 36 clean sheets for a clean sheet rate of 21.0%. The American goalkeeper has faced 877 shots during 172 career appearances, with a goals against average of 1.49 (allowing 255 goals), and a save percentage of 71.2%.

St. Louis’s goalkeeper, Roman Burki, has allowed 138 goals and made 310 saves in 88 starts. He holds 19 clean sheets and has faced 441 shots in a total of 7,861 minutes played. Burki’s save percentage is 70.3% with a clean sheet rate of 21.8%. He concedes 1.58 goals per 90 minutes, with a career record of 31 wins, 23 losses, and 34 draws.

Diego Rubio is a key player for Austin, having amassed 27 assists and 145 total points in his soccer journey. The Chilean forward has netted 59 goals over 13,171 minutes played. He has started 154 matches, averaging 0.40 goals per 90 minutes.

St. Louis features a formidable forward in Klauss, who has logged 5,520 minutes and scored 24 goals in his professional career. Klauss is averaging 0.39 goals per 90 minutes and has been part of the starting lineup in 64 matches, totaling 55 career points and providing 7 assists.

Who will claim victory in tonight’s soccer matchup against the spread?

Pick: Back Austin FC (+220)