Azamat Murzakanov vs Paulo Costa Predictions, Odds for UFC 327 on 04/11/2026

Home » Azamat Murzakanov vs Paulo Costa Predictions, Odds for UFC 327 on 04/11/2026

  • Azamat Murzakanov vs Paulo Costa
  • UFC 327
  • Kaseya Center in Miami
  • Saturday, April 11, 2026

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Azamat Murzakanov is slated to face Paulo Costa at UFC 327 on Saturday, April 11, 2026. The opening odds feature Murzakanov at -205, with Costa listed at +175.

Competing as “The Professional,” Azamat Murzakanov boasts an impressive record of 16 wins and no losses (16-0-0). Weighing in at 205 lbs and standing 5’10” tall, this 36-year-old southpaw has a reach of 71 inches. On the other hand, Paulo “The Eraser” Costa stands at 6’1″ and also weighs in at 205 lbs. Coming into this bout with a record of 15 wins and 4 losses (15-4-0), the 34-year-old orthodox fighter has a reach of 72 inches. In the striking department, Murzakanov lands an average of 4.70 significant strikes per minute, while Costa connects with 6.26. Murzakanov’s striking accuracy is 57%, compared to Costa’s 58%. On the defensive side, “The Professional” allows 2.86 significant strikes to pass through, while “The Eraser” allows 6.20, with Murzakanov defending 60% of incoming strikes and Costa defending 49%.

UFC Predictions for Paulo Costa: Best Bets and Odds
UFC 327 Azamat Murzakanov Paulo Costa
Opening Odds -205 +175
Record 16-0-0 15-4-0
Average Fight Duration 7:51 12:46
Height 5’10” 6’1″
Weight 205 lbs 205 lbs
Reach 71″ 72″
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.70 6.26
Striking Accuracy 57% 58%

When it comes to grappling, Azamat Murzakanov is the superior wrestler, averaging 0.55 takedowns per 3 rounds. He successfully executes takedowns on 15% of attempts while defending against 87% of takedown attempts from opponents. Paulo Costa, on the other hand, converts 50% of his takedown attempts and defends against 80% of those against him. In terms of submission attempts, Murzakanov goes for 0.6 submissions every 15 minutes, while Costa averages 0.9 submissions per 15 minutes.

In his last Octagon outing, Azamat Murzakanov faced Aleksandar Rakic and secured a victory via a first-round knockout. Rakic successfully landed 13 of 18 total strikes, while Murzakanov managed to land 4 of 9. Rakic achieved 64% accuracy with significant strikes, landing 9 of 14, but did not land any significant strikes to the head. Murzakanov’s accuracy was 37%, with 3 of 8 significant strikes finding their target, including 1 of 6 aimed at the head. Both fighters’ significant strikes were primarily executed at distance, achieving an 88% connect rate for Rakic and 66% for Murzakanov.

In Paulo Costa’s last appearance in the Octagon, he fought Roman Kopylov and won by unanimous decision in round 3. Kopylov registered 100% of his significant strikes at distance, whereas Costa achieved 87% connection at distance. Costa landed 62% of his attempted significant strikes, netting 99 out of 159. He successfully struck 34 out of 89 significant strikes aimed at the head. Kopylov connected on 48 out of 104 total significant strikes, landing 29 out of 79 aimed at the head. Overall, Costa outperformed Kopylov in total strikes, landing 102 of 162 attempted.

Additional Fights to Keep an Eye On

A must-watch bout features Curtis Blaydes taking on Josh Hokit. Blaydes enters the match with a record of 19 wins, 5 losses, and 1 no contest (19-5-0, 1 NC). The 35-year-old weighs 265 lbs and stands 6’4″ tall, with an 80-inch reach. Facing him is Josh Hokit, who is 6’1″ and weighs 236 lbs, entering the fight with a perfect record of 8 wins and no losses (8-0-0) at age 28, with a reach of 73 inches. In grappling, Curtis Blaydes averages 5.38 takedowns per 15 minutes, while Josh Hokit averages 8.74 takedowns every 3 rounds. In striking, Blaydes connects 3.56 times per minute with a 50% striking accuracy, while Hokit lands 6.07 strikes per minute with a 66% accuracy rate.

Additionally, Johnny Walker is set to clash with Dominick Reyes, who seeks to enhance his record of 15-5-0 at age 36, weighing 205 lbs and measuring 6’4″. Walker stands at 6’6″ and also weighs in at 205 lbs, holding a record of 22 wins, 9 losses, and 1 no contest (22-9-0, 1 NC) at age 34, with an 82-inch reach. Dominick Reyes is effective at defending against 82% of his opponents’ takedown attempts, completing 28% of his attempts. Meanwhile, Walker finishes 60% of his takedown attempts and defends against 57% of takedowns. In terms of striking stats, Reyes absorbs 3.49 strikes per minute while landing 5.39, whereas Walker absorbs 3.09 strikes per minute and delivers 4.06.

Who will triumph in tonight’s UFC matchup against the spread?

Selection: Bet on Paulo Costa (+175)

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Pick: Paulo Costa (+175)
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