Matchup: Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox
Date: Tuesday, August 19, 2025
Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Broadcast: NESN
Betting Odds: Baltimore (+172) Boston (-210)
The Boston Red Sox (68-57) are set to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (57-67) at Fenway Park this Tuesday. The odds for this matchup have the Orioles at +172, while the Red Sox are positioned at -210. The total for the game is set at 9 runs. Expected starting pitchers are Tomoyuki Sugano and Walker Buehler.
The Orioles have achieved a total of 200 doubles and hit 150 home runs as a unit. Their slugging percentage stands at .404, accompanied by 1,067 strikeouts and 339 walks. On average, the Baltimore Orioles score 4.3 runs per game, placing them 16th in the MLB. This season, they’ve recorded 507 RBIs and 997 hits, with a batting average of .240, totaling 537 runs while maintaining a .305 team on-base percentage.
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With a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.54, the Orioles’ pitching staff has a combined WHIP of 1.38. This season, the Orioles’ pitchers have surrendered 166 home runs and a total of 605 runs scored (25th in the league). They have given up 1,108 hits (9.1 per 9 innings) and 569 earned runs, resulting in a team ERA of 4.69 (26th in MLB) with 1,023 strikeouts. The staff has allowed 402 walks, with a FIP of 4.43 this season.
This year, 418 relief pitchers have taken the mound for the Orioles. The bullpen has inherited 163 runners, with 23.3% crossing home plate. The team has secured 29 saves and converted 29 of 45 save opportunities successfully. The bullpen has a save percentage of 64.4% and has been in 131 save situations, achieving 83 holds (5th in the league). They have appeared with runners on base 122 times, including 127 high-leverage situations.
In their 9,828 innings, the Orioles have converted 68.3% of balls in play into outs, ranking 28th in professional baseball. The Atlanta Braves, by comparison, have recorded 3,276 putouts, 1,079 assists, and 62 errors, maintaining a fielding percentage of .986, which ranks them 19th overall and includes 88 double plays.
Sugano has pitched 126 innings, racking up 82 strikeouts in his career. He holds an ERA of 4.14 (58 earned runs) and a career WHIP of 1.285, with 130 hits allowed (9.3 per nine innings) and 32 walks. Sugano has a career record of 10-5, along with a FIP of 4.08, facing a total of 538 batters in Major League Baseball.
The Boston Red Sox, on the other hand, maintain an on-base percentage of .324 and a batting average of .253 this season. They have struck out 1,108 times (5th in the league) and accumulated 1,084 hits, hitting 151 home runs and recording 600 RBIs. The Red Sox have a team slugging percentage of .428 and average 5.01 runs per game (4th in the MLB). They have registered 255 doubles and drawn 405 walks, scoring 626 runs.
The Red Sox pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.294 and a FIP of 4.04. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 8.20 (1,018 strikeouts to 409 walks). Currently, they rank 21st in MLB for total hits allowed with 1,038. They have conceded 128 homers, allowing 4.28 runs per nine innings (14th in MLB). This year, the Red Sox have allowed 532 runs, posting a team ERA of 3.74 (465 earned runs conceded).
Boston’s relievers have an inherited scoring rate of 30.2% out of 169 inherited runners. These bullpen pitchers have entered high-leverage situations 150 times and been called upon with runners on base 126 times. In 123 save opportunities, the Red Sox have earned 65 holds but suffered 23 blown saves. Their save rate is 58.9% (22nd in MLB), and they have utilized 407 relievers to this point in the season, achieving 33 saves from 56 save chances.
With 103 double plays recorded, the Boston Red Sox boast a fielding percentage of .979 (29th in the league). They have made 1,155 assists, tallied 97 errors, and accumulated 3,354 putouts this season. Across 10,062 innings played, they maintain a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (23rd in professional baseball).
In his career, Buehler has allowed 702 hits and notched 832 strikeouts over 819 innings pitched. With a career record of 54-29, Buehler holds a 3.55 ERA, allowing 7.7 hits per nine innings. He has conceded 323 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.150 and a FIP of 3.5. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.47, having faced 3,380 hitters in his Major League career.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown, covering the spread or the moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Pick: Go with Baltimore (+172)
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