Matchup: Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox
Event Date: Monday, August 18, 2025
Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Broadcast: NESN
Betting Odds: Baltimore (+132) Boston (-160)
The Baltimore Orioles (55-66) are headed to Fenway Park on Monday to challenge the Boston Red Sox (66-56). The odds favor Baltimore at +132, while Boston is listed at -160. The total runs for this game is set at 9. Starting pitchers featured are Trevor Rogers and Dustin May.
The Orioles currently boast a slugging percentage of .403, having struck out 1,042 times. They have drawn 331 walks and totaled 485 RBIs with 963 hits this season, resulting in a batting average of .239. The team has hit 197 doubles and launched 145 home runs, scoring 514 runs with an on-base percentage (OBP) of .304. On average, Baltimore scores 4.3 runs per game, ranking them 21st in the league.
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Baltimore’s strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.52, with a staff WHIP of 1.40. Their pitchers have given up 165 home runs and allowed 600 runs (26th in the league). The Orioles have recorded 1,093 hits (9.3 per 9 innings) and 565 earned runs with an earned run average (ERA) of 4.79, placing them 27th in the league. The pitching staff has struck out 988 batters and walked 392, with a FIP of 4.49 this season.
A total of 409 relievers have appeared on the mound this season, with 163 inherited runners—23.3% of whom have scored. The bullpen has achieved 29 saves, missing out on 16 of 45 save opportunities. With a 64.4% save rate, they have confronted 131 save situations, achieving 83 holds throughout the year (4th in baseball). The Orioles’ bullpen has entered challenging situations 120 times and made 123 high-leverage appearances.
In this season, the Atlanta Braves have registered 3,187 putouts, 1,050 assists, and 61 errors, yielding a fielding percentage of .986, ranking them 19th in the league. The Orioles have converted 68.1% of balls in play into outs during their 9,561 innings, placing them 28th in Major League Baseball.
Rogers (20-36 career win-loss record) possesses a FIP of 3.88, having faced 2,060 batters in his major league career. He has allowed 452 hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has 181 walks, with an earned run average of 3.94 (210 earned runs). His WHIP stands at 1.321, with 479 innings pitched and 478 strikeouts recorded in his career.
On the other hand, the Red Sox have a slugging percentage of .430 and score an average of 5.03 runs per game (5th in MLB). They have hit 250 doubles, drawn 397 walks, and accumulated 614 runs. Boston has recorded 149 home runs this season along with 588 RBIs. They’ve struck out 1,087 times (3rd in MLB) and logged a total of 1,065 hits. Their on-base percentage is .325 with a batting average of .254.
The Red Sox pitching staff maintains a WHIP of 1.302, with a collective FIP of 4.02. Their K/BB ratio is 8.20, compiling 1,000 strikeouts against 407 walks. They rank 21st in the league for hits allowed with 1,013, conceding 123 home runs while yielding 4.30 runs per 9 innings (15th in the league). The staff has given up a total of 521 runs, with a 3.75 ERA (454 earned runs).
In save situations, the Red Sox have recorded 64 holds and 22 blown saves. They’ve had relief pitchers take the mound in 54 save opportunities, securing 32 saves. With 146 high-pressure situations faced and 121 occasions with runners on, the Boston bullpen has an inherited score percentage of 30.7% from 163 inherited base runners. The team ranks 22nd in save rate at 59.3% and has utilized 397 relief pitchers this season.
Through 9,819 innings, the Red Sox have achieved a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (25th in MLB), turned 101 double plays, and have a fielding percentage of .979 (30th in baseball). They have also registered 1,117 assists, 96 errors, and 3,273 putouts so far this year.
May (19-17 career win-loss record) has a 3.70 ERA, allowing 7.5 hits per nine innings along with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.77. He has faced 1,267 batters during his career, conceding 125 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.163 and a FIP of 3.6. Thus far, May has permitted 252 hits while achieving 283 strikeouts over 304 innings pitched.
Who will triumph in tonight’s MLB matchup regarding the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Choose Baltimore (+132)
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