Matchup: Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians
Date: Thursday, July 24, 2025
Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Broadcast: CLEGuardians.TV
Betting Odds: Baltimore (+172) Cleveland (-210)
The Cleveland Guardians, with a record of 50-50, will host the Baltimore Orioles, currently at 44-56, at Progressive Field this Thursday. The betting odds favor Cleveland at -210, while Baltimore sits at +172. The total runs for the game are set at 8.5, with Charlie Morton and Logan Allen designated as the starting pitchers.
B altimore boasts a slugging percentage of .396, with 874 strikeouts and 273 walks this season. They’ve accumulated 387 RBIs and 798 hits, holding a batting average of .239. The Orioles have recorded 157 doubles and hit 116 home runs. They scored a total of 410 runs, resulting in an on-base percentage (OBP) of .303. As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles average 4.1 runs per game, placing them 23rd in MLB.
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With a K/BB ratio of 2.45 and a collective WHIP of 1.43, the Orioles’ pitchers have allowed 141 home runs and 517 runs this season—ranking 27th in the league. Baltimore has conceded 923 hits (9.5 per 9 innings) and 490 earned runs, resulting in a team ERA of 5.02 (27th in MLB) while striking out 817 batters. Their pitching staff has also issued 334 walks, with a FIP of 4.57 this year.
Orioles relief pitchers have entered games with runners on base 111 times, and they’ve experienced 102 high-leverage situations. The bullpen has accumulated 71 holds (3rd in MLB) with a save rate of 64.9%, converting 24 of 37 save opportunities. They’ve inherited 148 runners this season, with 20.3% scoring. In total, the Orioles have deployed 351 pitchers throughout the year.
B altimore’s defense has converted 67.6% of balls in play into outs over 7,905 innings, ranking them 29th overall. The Atlanta Braves lead with 2,635 putouts this season, complemented by 880 assists and 56 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .984, placing them 23rd in MLB, alongside 67 double plays.
Charlie Morton has pitched 111 innings with a career total of 99 strikeouts. Sporting a win-loss record of 5-9, Morton holds a FIP of 5.02 and has faced 500 batters in the majors. His earned run average (ERA) is 5.09 (63 earned runs allowed), with a WHIP of 1.447. He has given up 115 hits (9.3 hits per nine innings) and has issued 46 walks.
The Cleveland Guardians have achieved an OBP of .298 and a team batting average of .225 this season. They’ve struck out 818 times (18th in MLB) and secured 735 total hits. Cleveland has hit 106 home runs and accumulated 372 RBIs, with a team slugging percentage of .373, averaging 3.87 runs per game (26th in MLB). They have hit 146 doubles and drawn 322 walks, leading to a total of 387 runs scored.
Cleveland’s pitchers have allowed 422 runs this season, resulting in a team ERA of 3.94 (389 earned runs). With 107 home runs allowed, they give up 4.28 runs per 9 innings (15th in MLB). The Guardians’ WHIP stands at 1.330, with a FIP of 4.08. Their K/BB ratio is 8.60, achieving 844 strikeouts against 360 walks, ranking 15th in MLB for total hits allowed—821.
In 113 save situations, the Guardians have achieved 71 holds while facing 12 blown saves. Their bullpen has been active in 40 save opportunities, successfully converting 28 saves. They have participated in 109 high-leverage situations and 86 instances with base runners. Cleveland’s bullpen has an inherited score rate of 36.4% for their 121 inherited runners, ranking 4th in MLB with a save rate of 70.0%, deploying 333 pitchers this year.
Over 7,995 innings, the Guardians’ defensive efficiency is at 69.0% (22nd in MLB). Cleveland has executed 79 double plays and maintains a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in MLB) with 810 assists, 67 errors, and 2,665 putouts this season.
So far in his career, Logan Allen has allowed 333 hits while compiling 272 strikeouts across 317 innings. He has given up 158 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.453 and a FIP of 4.4. His K/BB ratio is 2.13, facing 1,377 opposing hitters. Allen’s career record stands at 21-21 with a 4.48 earned run average and he has yielded 9.4 hits per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Parlay Pundit’s Prediction: Take Cleveland (-210) and the under 8.5 runs
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