Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Odds, Predictions, and Top MLB Picks for 9/27/2025

Home » Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Odds, Predictions, and Top MLB Picks for 9/27/2025
  • Matchup: Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees
  • Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
  • Broadcast: YES Network
  • Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+172) | New York (-210)

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This Saturday, the iconic Yankee Stadium will host the clash between the New York Yankees (90-68) and the Baltimore Orioles (74-84). The betting odds position the Orioles at +172 while the Yankees stand at -210. The over/under for this game is set at 8.5 runs, featuring starting pitchers Tomoyuki Sugano and Cam Schlittler.

MLB predictions for Gunnar Henderson and Baltimore Orioles best bets

The Orioles boast a slugging percentage of .394, have recorded 1,413 strikeouts, and accumulated 469 walks. They’ve produced 631 RBIs and have tallied 1,249 hits, holding a team batting average of .236. With 248 doubles and 183 home runs, Baltimore has scored 664 runs with an on-base percentage of .305. The team averages 4.2 runs per game, ranking them 23rd in Major League Baseball.

Baltimore’s pitching staff holds a team ERA of 4.57, ranking 24th in the league, with 1,316 strikeouts. This season, they have allowed 209 home runs and 766 runs (also 24th), while issuing 510 walks. Their FIP stands at 4.39, and they have given up 1,396 hits (approximately 9.0 hits per 9 innings) along with 711 earned runs. The team’s K/BB ratio sits at 2.58, with a collective WHIP of 1.36.

Orioles relievers have come into games with runners on base 151 times and stepped into 167 high-leverage situations, earning 105 holds (ranking 4th in MLB). They enjoy a save percentage of 65.5%, having entered 167 save situations with 38 successful saves and 20 blown saves. On the season, they’ve inherited 210 runners, with 26.7% scoring. In total, the Orioles have used 529 relievers this year.

The Yankees have compiled 4,199 putouts, 1,378 assists, and 87 errors, featuring a fielding percentage of .985, placing them 20th in the league, alongside 118 double plays. Baltimore has successfully converted 68.5% of balls hit into play into outs over 12,597 innings, ranking 26th in MLB.

Tomoyuki Sugano has pitched 152 innings in his career, accumulating 103 strikeouts with a 10-9 record. He holds a FIP of 4.48 against 657 batters faced. His earned run average is 4.55 (77 earned runs allowed), supported by a WHIP of 1.340. Sugano has allowed 168 hits with 36 walks (averaging 9.9 hits per 9 innings).

The Yankees present an impressive slugging percentage of .454 and average 5.23 runs per game, leading the league. They’ve recorded 252 doubles and received 621 walks, scoring a total of 827 runs. New York hit 266 home runs this season, producing 798 RBIs, while striking out 1,429 times (3rd in MLB) and accumulating 1,341 hits. The team’s OBP stands at .332 with a batting average of .251 for the year.

On the mound, the Yankees have allowed a total of 675 runs, with a team ERA of 3.94 (615 earned runs surrendered). They have given up 169 home runs, allowing 4.33 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB). The pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.256 and a FIP of 3.99. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is an impressive 9.00 (1,401 strikeouts vs. 544 walks), ranking 4th for total hits allowed with 1,219.

New York’s relievers have inherited a scoring rate of 27.8% from 252 inherited base runners. They’ve pitched in 160 high-leverage situations and 166 games with runners on base. Compiling 95 holds and 21 blown saves from 159 save opportunities, the Yankees rank 7th in MLB with a 66.1% save rate and have used 520 relief pitchers this season, successfully converting 41 saves out of 62 save opportunities.

In 12,633 innings, the Yankees have a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (10th in MLB), achieving 105 double plays, while their fielding percentage is .984 (25th). The Yankees have registered 1,361 assists, 92 errors, and 4,211 putouts throughout the season.

In his MLB career, Schlittler has permitted 56 hits with 75 strikeouts over 66 innings pitched. His career record stands at 3-3, with a 3.27 ERA and an average of 7.6 hits allowed per nine innings. Schlittler has given up 24 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.303, maintaining a FIP of 3.2 and a K/BB ratio of 2.50 against 278 opposing batters.

Which team will prevail in this evening’s matchup—will it be against the spread or the moneyline?

Pick : Choose Baltimore (+172)

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Pick: Baltimore Orioles (+172)
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