Matchup: Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies
Date: Wednesday, August 6, 2025
Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Broadcast: NBC Sports Philadelphia
Betting Odds/Spread: Baltimore (+162) vs Philadelphia (-196)
On Wednesday, the Baltimore Orioles (51-62) will face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (64-48) at Citizens Bank Park. The odds for this matchup place Baltimore at +162 and Philadelphia at -196, with a total betting line set at 9 runs. The starting pitchers for this game are Trevor Rogers and Ranger Suarez.
The Orioles exhibit a slugging percentage of .409 and have recorded 976 strikeouts while drawing 309 walks this season. They have achieved 466 RBIs and amassed 918 hits, leading to a batting average of .243. As a team, the Orioles have produced 187 doubles and launched 139 home runs, totaling 492 runs scored with an on-base percentage of .307. They average 4.4 runs per game, placing them 15th in the league.
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This season, the Orioles hold a 4.90 earned run average (27th in baseball) with 925 strikeouts. They have allowed 160 home runs and have given up a total of 571 runs (27th in the league). Their staff has issued 371 walks, with a FIP of 4.57. Baltimore’s pitchers have given up 1,028 hits (9.3 per 9 innings) and 540 earned runs. They boast a K/BB ratio of 2.49 and a WHIP of 1.41.
The Orioles’ relief corps has recorded a save percentage of 65.9%, taking part in 121 save situations. They have inherited 159 baserunners, with only 21.4% resulting in scored runs for the opponents. The team has sent 388 relief pitchers to the mound this season. The bullpen has registered 77 holds, ranking 4th in MLB, while sealing 27 saves out of 41 attempts.
With a defensive efficiency rate of 68.0%, the Orioles rank 28th in the league, having logged 2,974 putouts, 985 assists, and 60 errors this season, culminating in a fielding percentage of .985 (20th in pro baseball), including 79 double plays.
Rogers has pitched for 466 innings, securing 466 strikeouts throughout his career. He has a 19-36 career record, with a FIP of 3.96, having faced 2,008 batters. His ERA stands at 4.02 (208 earned runs), with a WHIP of 1.328. Notably, he allows 8.5 hits per 9 innings and has issued 179 walks.
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit 135 home runs and driven in 506 runs this season. They also boast a total of 181 doubles, having walked 377 times and scored 529 runs. Their on-base percentage is .326, and they maintain a batting average of .254 with a slugging percentage of .416, averaging 4.72 runs per game (9th in the league). The team has faced 902 strikeouts (20th in MLB) and recorded 969 hits.
As a pitching unit, the Phillies have a WHIP of 1.244 and a FIP of 3.73. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 9.30 (1,030 strikeouts vs. 312 walks), ranking 19th in total hits allowed with 928. They have conceded 126 home runs and permit 4.07 runs per 9 innings (6th in baseball), having allowed 451 runs this season with a team ERA of 3.78 (419 earned runs).
Philadelphia’s relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 32.4% out of 105 inherited base runners. They’ve entered high leverage situations 114 times and have faced base runners on 73 occasions. Out of 95 save situations, they hold 48 holds alongside 17 blown saves, ranking 16th in the league with a 63.0% save rate, having used 343 relief pitchers this year. They have successfully converted 29 saves out of 46 opportunities.
The Phillies have played 8,976 innings, achieving a defensive efficiency rating of 69.1% (21st in MLB). Their fielding percentage is an impressive .989 (3rd in baseball) with 74 double plays, 965 assists, and 42 errors, totaling 2,992 putouts this season.
Suarez, career-wise, has allowed 661 hits and struck out 649 batters over 704 innings. With a 49-33 career record, he maintains a 3.32 ERA, yielding 8.4 hits per 9 innings, while allowing 260 earned runs. His WHIP stands at 1.263, with a FIP of 3.3 and a K/BB ratio of 2.83 from facing 2,955 batters in his career.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown, whether against the spread or on the moneyline?
Tony Sink’s Prediction: Back Philadelphia (-196)
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