Matchup: Baltimore Orioles vs San Diego Padres
Event Date: Tuesday, September 2, 2025
Venue: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Broadcast: Padres.TV
Betting Odds: Baltimore (+126) San Diego (-152)
On Tuesday, Petco Park hosts the contest between the San Diego Padres (76-61) and the Baltimore Orioles (61-75). The odds for this clash show Baltimore at +126 and San Diego at -152, with a total set at 8 runs. The starting pitchers are anticipated to be Tyler Wells and Yu Darvish.
The Baltimore Orioles have a slugging percentage of .405 and have struck out 1,184 times while receiving 379 walks. This season, they have racked up 561 RBIs and 1,103 hits, resulting in a team batting average of .241. The squad has recorded 223 doubles and launched 164 home runs, accumulating 593 runs with an on-base percentage of .306. As a result, the Orioles average 4.4 runs per game, which places them 18th in the league.
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Currently, the Orioles boast a team ERA of 4.69, ranking 25th in MLB, with their pitchers recording 1,119 strikeouts. They have allowed 186 home runs and 670 total runs this season (also 25th in MLB), with a FIP of 4.45. Thus far, they have given up 1,217 hits (9.1 per 9 innings) and 626 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.59, while their WHIP stands at 1.37.
The Orioles have utilized 452 relief pitchers, with 178 inherited runners—25.8% of whom scored. This year, they have achieved 31 saves and failed to convert 18 of their 49 save opportunities. Baltimore’s bullpen has a save percentage of 63.3% and has come into 140 save situations, achieving 87 holds (6th in the league) while entering games with runners on base 131 times and in high-leverage situations 137 times.
As a whole, the Atlanta Braves have achieved 3,603 putouts, alongside 1,190 assists and 72 errors, maintaining a fielding percentage of .985 (19th in baseball) with 95 double plays. The Orioles have converted 68.4% of balls in play into outs over their 10,809 innings (28th in MLB).
Tyler Wells, with a career record of 16-18, has a FIP of 4.01 after facing 1,184 batters in the majors. He has allowed 231 hits (7.1 hits per nine innings) and issued 77 walks. His ERA is 4.07 (133 ERs allowed), and his WHIP is 1.047. Over 294 innings, he has accumulated 271 strikeouts in his professional career.
The San Diego Padres have a .323 on-base percentage and a team batting average of .252 this season. They have struck out 953 times (28th in MLB) while achieving 1,146 hits. The Padres hit 119 home runs and drove in 545 runs. Their team slugging percentage is .387, averaging 4.26 runs per game (21st in MLB). They have also recorded 221 doubles, walked 440 times, and scored 580 runs.
San Diego’s pitching staff has surrendered 520 runs this season, with a team ERA of 3.61 (482 earned runs). They’ve allowed 141 home runs and give up 3.90 runs per 9 innings (2nd in the league). The Padres’ WHIP is 1.199, and their FIP stands at 3.96. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.70 (with 1,161 strikeouts against 445 walks), leading the league in total hits allowed with 995.
In 153 save situations, the Padres have 90 holds and 15 blown saves. Their relief pitchers have entered 58 save chances, successfully recording 43 saves. The bullpen has faced opponents in high leverage situations 183 times, with 157 occurrences of runners on base. San Diego’s bullpen has an inherited score rate of 28.3% out of 223 inherited runners, ranking first in baseball with a save percentage of 74.1%. A total of 478 relievers have taken the mound this year.
The San Diego Padres have executed 100 double plays, holding a .987 fielding percentage (12th in the majors). They have recorded 1,028 assists, 62 errors, and achieved 3,603 putouts this year. With a defensive efficiency of 72.0% over their 10,809 innings, they rank 2nd in professional baseball.
In his career, Yu Darvish has allowed 1,432 hits while striking out 2,049 batters across 1,753 innings. With a career record of 113-92, Darvish holds a 3.63 earned run average and has allowed 7.4 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 708 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.136 and a FIP of 3.6. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.67, having faced 7,203 hitters throughout his professional career.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB match-up against the spread or on the moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Back San Diego (-152)
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