- Matchup: Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays
- Date: Monday, June 16, 2025
- Venue: George M. Steinbrenner Field, Tampa, FL
- Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Sun
- Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+125) Tampa Bay (-145)
The Tampa Bay Rays (36-32) are set to host the Baltimore Orioles (27-40) at George M. Steinbrenner Field on Monday. Betting odds favor Baltimore at +125 while Tampa Bay stands at -145. The over/under for this matchup is set at 9 runs. The starting pitchers for the game will be Zach Eflin and Ryan Pepiot.
The Orioles have achieved 98 doubles this season and hit 74 home runs. Their slugging percentage is .390, but they’ve struck out 591 times while drawing 191 walks. As a team, the Baltimore Orioles average 3.9 runs per game, ranking them 25th in the league. They have accumulated 242 RBIs along with 533 hits, resulting in a batting average of .239. The team has scored a total of 260 runs and maintains an on-base percentage (OBP) of .304.
Currently, the Orioles have a team ERA of 5.00, placing them 27th in MLB, and their pitchers have struck out 541 batters. The pitching staff has surrendered 94 home runs and a total of 345 runs (26th in the league). They have issued 219 walks, and the team’s FIP stands at 4.54. Baltimore has allowed 614 hits (9.4 hits per nine innings) and 326 earned runs, with a K/BB ratio of 2.47 and a WHIP of 1.42.
The Orioles’ bullpen has a save percentage of 65.2%, having participated in 74 save opportunities. They have faced 105 inherited runners, with 21.9% of them scoring. The relief pitchers have entered games with players on base 80 times and have made 66 appearances in high-leverage situations this season. The team has utilized 232 relievers thus far, with the bullpen securing 48 holds (4th in MLB) and 15 saves against 8 blown saves out of 23 opportunities.
The Atlanta Braves have recorded 1,759 putouts this season along with 595 assists and 36 errors, achieving a fielding percentage of .985, which ranks 20th in MLB, while turning 47 double plays. The Orioles have managed to convert 67.8% of balls in play into outs during their 5,277 innings, positioning them 27th in professional baseball.
Zach Eflin has pitched 1,055 innings in his career, achieving 908 strikeouts. His career ERA is 4.16 with 488 earned runs allowed and a WHIP of 1.217. Eflin has given up 1,069 hits (9.1 hits per nine innings) and has 215 walks. With a career record of 68-64, his FIP stands at 4.10, having faced 4,405 batters throughout his MLB tenure.
The Tampa Bay Rays have achieved a .311 OBP and a batting average of .245 this season. They have struck out 575 times (14th in MLB) and accumulated 557 hits. With a total of 71 home runs and 286 RBIs, the Rays boast a slugging percentage of .389 and average 4.43 runs per game (11th in the league). They have recorded 107 doubles, drawn 205 walks, and scored 301 runs overall.
The Rays’ pitching has permitted 254 runs this season, maintaining a team ERA of 3.55 (240 earned runs). They have allowed 90 home runs and given up 3.75 runs per nine innings (7th in MLB). Their staff’s WHIP is 1.169 and FIP at 4.22, with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 8.00, totaling 543 strikeouts against 178 walks. They rank 10th in MLB for most hits allowed with 534.
With 69 save opportunities, the Rays have recorded 42 holds and 10 blown saves this season. Tampa Bay’s relievers have participated in 26 save opportunities and secured 16 saves. The bullpen has appeared in 67 high-leverage scenarios and 39 times with runners on base, holding a 40.7% inherited score percentage from 54 inherited runners. They rank 18th in the league with a 61.5% save conversion rate, having dispatched 213 relief pitchers this year.
The Tampa Bay Rays currently have a fielding percentage of .988 (8th in MLB) with 74 double plays turned, 647 assists, 31 errors, and 1,828 putouts so far this season. In their 5,484 innings played, they maintain a defensive efficiency of 71.9%, which positions them 3rd in MLB.
In his career, Ryan Pepiot has given up 224 hits and recorded 295 strikeouts across 289 innings of work. He has allowed 106 earned runs, achieving a WHIP of 1.134 and holding a FIP of 3.20. His K/BB ratio stands at 2.84 after facing 1,185 batters. Pepiot’s career record is 16-15, with an ERA of 3.30 and 7.0 hits allowed per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB battle against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Tampa Bay (-145)
