Matchup: Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Date: Friday, September 12, 2025
Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Broadcast: Sportsnet
Betting Odds: Baltimore (+120) Toronto (-144)
This Friday, the Toronto Blue Jays (83-62) will face off against the Baltimore Orioles (68-77) at the Rogers Centre. The betting line places the Orioles at +120 while the Blue Jays sit at -144. The projected total runs for this game is set at 8. The starting pitchers are expected to be Trevor Rogers and Chris Bassitt.
The Orioles have recorded a total of 233 doubles and hit 173 home runs this season. With a slugging percentage of .401, Baltimore has struck out 1,289 times and has drawn 419 walks. On average, the Orioles score 4.3 runs per game, which places them 19th in the league. They have tallied 592 RBIs and 1,170 hits in 2025, boasting a team batting average of .240 and 625 runs scored, along with an on-base percentage of .307.
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The Orioles hold a K/BB ratio of 2.56, with their bullpen showcasing a WHIP of 1.37. This season, Orioles pitchers have allowed 196 home runs and 705 runs (ranking 25th overall). With a total of 1,288 hits allowed (9.0 per 9 innings), they have an earned run average of 4.60 (24th in the league) and have struck out 1,191 batters while issuing 466 walks, leading to a collective FIP of 4.46.
Throughout the season, the Orioles’ bullpen has faced runners in scoring positions 141 times and entered 151 high-pressure situations. They have accumulated 94 holds this year (5th in MLB) and posted a save percentage of 63.5%, succeeding in 33 out of 52 save opportunities. This season, 25.5% of the inherited runners have scored after the Orioles’ 486 relief pitchers took the mound.
Defensively, the Orioles have converted 68.6% of balls in play into outs over 11,556 innings, ranking them 26th in the majors. The Atlanta Braves have 3,852 putouts this season, along with 1,284 assists, and 79 errors. The team’s fielding percentage is .985, placing them 19th in professional baseball, with 105 double plays recorded.
Starting pitcher Rogers holds a career record of 23-36 with a FIP of 3.77, having faced 2,163 batters in the majors. With an ERA of 3.83 (215 earned runs allowed), he has surrendered 474 hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and issued 186 walks. To date, Rogers has pitched 505 innings, accumulating 505 strikeouts.
The Toronto Blue Jays have tallied 175 home runs and 696 RBIs this season. They have secured 265 doubles, drawn 473 walks, and scored 721 runs. The Blue Jays’ season batting average stands at .268, with an on-base percentage of .337 and a slugging percentage of .431. On average, they score 4.97 runs per game (4th in the league) despite striking out 982 times (ranked 30th) and accumulating 1,329 hits.
With a team WHIP of 1.269, the Blue Jays pitching staff has a FIP of 4.34. They rank 12th among MLB teams in terms of total hits allowed (1,173) and have given up 656 runs this season, with a team ERA of 4.22 (603 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is an impressive 9.00 (1,283 strikeouts vs. 460 walks). The Blue Jays have allowed 194 home runs and yield 4.59 runs per 9 innings, ranking 19th in the league.
During the current season, Toronto’s bullpen has entered 62 save opportunities, converting 39 of them. Their save percentage stands at 62.9%, placing them 16th in MLB. Throughout the year, the Blue Jays have rolled out 505 relief pitchers, with their relief arms having faced 144 high-leverage situations and 156 appearances with runners on base. Their inherited runners’ scoring rate is 29.5% from 224 inherited runners. Out of 153 save situations, they have achieved 86 holds but have also blown 23 saves.
The Toronto Blue Jays have executed 104 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (22nd in professional baseball). They have achieved 1,112 assists, committed 81 errors, and recorded 3,861 putouts so far this season. Over 11,583 innings in the field, they maintain a defensive efficiency of 70.1% (13th in the majors).
In his professional baseball career, Bassitt has allowed 1,174 hits while striking out 1,182 in 1,269 innings pitched. He has surrendered 513 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.245 and a FIP of 3.6. His strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.91, having faced 5,370 batters during his career. Bassitt holds an 83-64 record with a 3.64 earned run average, yielding 8.3 hits per nine innings.
Which team will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or the moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Selection: Opt for Toronto (-144)
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