- Matchup: Baylor Bears vs TCU Horned Frogs
- Date: Saturday, October 18, 2025
- Venue: Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX
- Broadcast: ESPN2
- Point Spread: Horned Frogs favored by 3.0 points
- Over-Under Total: 66 points
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This weekend, the Baylor Bears (4-2) are set to challenge the TCU Horned Frogs (4-2) at Amon G. Carter Stadium on October 18, 2025. TCU begins this contest as 3.0-point favorites, with a total set at 66 points.
Baylor Bears come into this contest with a season record of 4-2. Their most recent game ended in a thrilling victory against the Kansas State Wildcats, with a final score of 35-34. During that match, they executed 25 rushing attempts, accumulating 98 yards at an average of 3.9 yards per carry. They ran a total of 64 plays, which led to 443 yards of offense. On defense, Baylor allowed 29 completions on 46 attempts, totaling 339 passing yards, reflecting a completion rate of 63.0%. Against the run, they conceded 162 yards on 36 carries, averaging 4.5 yards per attempt.
This season, the Bears have amassed a total of 2,964 offensive yards. In terms of scoring, they have secured 19 touchdown passes and 8 rushing touchdowns, while turning the ball over to opponents 10 times. The team has achieved 156 first downs and has incurred 38 penalties totaling 379 yards. On average, they boast 145.3 rushing yards per game, ranking them 84th in Division 1, and they score an average of 36.3 points each game.
Despite their offensive strength, the Bears rank 108th in Division 1 for team defense, giving up an average of 29.7 points per game. They allow 4.3 yards per rush, surrendering 177.2 rushing yards per contest. Throughout the season, Baylor has yielded 1,063 yards on the ground across 6 games. Through the air, they have allowed 1,359 yards, positioning them 76th nationally, as they give up 226.5 yards and a completion rate of 62.9% per game. Overall, their defensive stats yield an average of 403.7 yards per game, placing them 110th in Division 1 with 8 passing touchdowns and 12 rushing touchdowns allowed.
On the other side, the TCU Horned Frogs also enter this game with a 4-2 record. In their last outing, they suffered a 41-28 defeat against Kansas State. TCU managed a total of 448 yards over 69 plays, averaging 6.5 yards per play. In the rushing department, they gained 72 yards on 22 carries, averaging just 3.3 yards per carry. On defense, TCU’s run defense faced 45 rushing attempts, integrating 145 yards, which calculated to 3.2 yards per rush, while their passing defense allowed a completion rate of 61.5% with 198 yards given up on 16 of 26 attempts.
As for TCU’s scoring ability, they rank 34th nationally, averaging 35.3 points per game. With an average of 439.0 total yards per game, they also find themselves 34th in the nation. However, TCU’s penalties add up to 385 yards on 41 infractions, ranking them 44th as the most penalized team. Their offense has thrown 7 interceptions and lost 2 fumbles while achieving 134 first downs. In terms of passing, the Horned Frogs have thrown for 1,934 yards, averaging 322.3 yards per game, ranking them 5th in Division 1, while they hold an average of 116.7 rushing yards per game with a total of 700 yards this season.
On the defensive side, TCU allows an average of 24.7 points per game, ranking 70th in Division 1. They have conceded 793 rushing yards throughout the season, equating to 132.2 yards per contest, along with 4 rushing touchdowns. In the air, they have given up 13 passing touchdowns and an average of 240.7 yards per game, ranking them 100th nationally. TCU’s defense has logged 408 plays, ranking 81st in Division 1. They have recorded 4 recoveries of fumbles and 6 interceptions this season, conceding a total of 148 points.
Who emerges victorious in this weekend’s Baylor vs. TCU college football duel against the spread?
Prediction: Back the Horned Frogs -3.0
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