- Matchup: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Arkansas Razorbacks
- Passing Yards Prop: 205 – Over (-105) Under (-125)
- Completions Prop: 19 – Over (-102) Under (-125)
- Pass Attempts Prop: 29 – Over (-102) Under (-125)
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On Saturday, November 1, 2025, Blake Shapen and the Mississippi State Bulldogs will face off against the Arkansas Razorbacks at Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville, AR. Shapen’s prop bets establish a benchmark of 205 yards passing, 29 passing attempts, and 19 completions for this matchup.
Blake Shapen’s Season Performance
In the realm of rushing, Shapen has recorded -19 yards, while on passing, he averages 238.3 yards per game. When it comes to attempts, he averages 28.4 throws each contest, achieving a completion rate of 66.1%. With a total of 1,906 passing yards, he averages 8.4 first downs per game. Shapen has completed 227 passes, placing him 117th in D-1 for touchdown percentage at 5.7%. He has registered an average of 18.8 completions per game and thrown for 13 touchdowns, alongside committing 5 interceptions. His overall performance also includes an average of 9.4 rushing attempts and 1.6 passing touchdowns per game.
Blake Shapen’s Recent Five Games
In his last five games, he has averaged 237.4 passing yards per game. Shapen has recorded 147 passing attempts, along with an impressive interception rate, throwing a pick on just 2.0% of his attempts. Through the air, he averages 13.2 first downs per match. Over this stretch, Shapen has thrown for 7 touchdowns and averages 0.6 interceptions per game, with a 0.0% sack rate on his passing attempts.
| Opponent | Passing Yards | Completions | Pass Attempts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas | 381 | 26 | 42 |
| Florida | 324 | 24 | 36 |
| Texas A&M | 142 | 15 | 20 |
| Tennessee | 180 | 18 | 29 |
| Northern Illinois | 160 | 12 | 20 |
Blake Shapen’s Last 10 Games
Shapen has maintained a 66.6% completion rate and recorded an average of 287 passing yards. Specifically, he averages 1.6 passing touchdowns and 237.0 yards per game. His performance reveals he has achieved 19.1 completions per game, totaling 16 touchdowns from the air and contributing 129 first downs. During these ten games, he has completed 191 passes, with an interception percentage of 2.1%, and notably, has not been sacked.
Blake Shapen’s Career Overview
Over his career, Shapen has an interception rate of 1.7%, along with 57 passing touchdowns. His statistics show that he has made 1,087 attempts with 19 interceptions. In terms of air yards, he averages 216.8 yards per game. Additionally, he has collected 9 rushing touchdowns, boasting a completion percentage of 64.7% on his passes and maintaining a touchdown rate of 5.2%.
Offensive Overview of the Mississippi State Bulldogs
The Mississippi State Bulldogs rank 38th in D-1 with a 6.5% touchdown pass ratio. The SEC team averages 29.4 passing attempts and 410.8 total yards per game. They secure an average of 246.6 passing yards per outing, accumulating a total of 3,286 offensive yards this season. The Bulldogs also average 164.1 rushing yards per game, with 155 completions made. The team has a 2.0% interception rate this season.
Defensive Breakdown of the Arkansas Razorbacks
The Arkansas Razorbacks have struggled defensively, ranking 82nd in D-1 with a 2.0% interception allowed rate. They permit an average of 1.6 passing touchdowns per game and have conceded a total of 13 passing touchdowns this season. On the ground, they allow 2.1 rushing touchdowns and 39.3 attempts per game, giving up 242.0 passing yards and 1,551 rushing yards overall, ranking them 99th in D-1. Their completion percentage allowed sits at 63.9%.
Recommendation: Consider the Under on Completions (-125)
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