Matchup: Boise State Broncos vs USF Bulls
Date: Thursday, August 28, 2025
Venue: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
Broadcast: ESPN/ESPN+
Betting Odds: Bulls (+5.5)
Total Points Over/Under: 63.5
The USF Bulls (7-6 in the previous season) will challenge the Boise State Broncos (12-2 last season) at Raymond James Stadium on Thursday, August 28, 2025. Boise State enters this matchup favored by 5.5 points. The line for the combined score is set at 63.5.
Boise State concluded the last season with a solid record of 12-2. They faced the Penn State Nittany Lions in their final game and lost, with a score of 31-14. In that game, they executed 75 plays totaling 412 yards. The Broncos attempted to establish their ground game with 40 rushes, gaining 108 yards, averaging 2.7 yards per carry. Defensively, Boise State allowed 216 rushing yards on 41 attempts, averaging 5.3 yards per carry. Additionally, they allowed 13 completions on 25 passing attempts, yielding 171 yards and a completion percentage of 52.0%.
In scoring terms, the Boise State Broncos had an impressive average of 37.3 points per game. Their rushing offense averaged 240.4 yards per game, ranking them 8th in Division 1. Last season, they amassed a total of 6,524 yards, scoring 22 touchdowns through the air and 43 on the ground. The offense accumulated 328 first downs while committing 76 penalties totaling 647 yards. The Broncos lost possession of the ball 13 times across the season.
Defensively, Boise State ranked 38th in Division 1 for points allowed, conceding an average of 22.6 points per game. Opponents averaged 3.8 yards per rush and 122.3 rushing yards per game. The Broncos allowed a total of 1,712 rushing yards over 14 games. In terms of passing, they permitted 3,380 yards, ranking 125th nationally. Throughout the season, they allowed 241.4 passing yards per game and a completion percentage of 60.6%. In total, they conceded 24 passing touchdowns and 15 rushing touchdowns.
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The USF Bulls completed last season with a record of 7-6. Their latest match resulted in a thrilling victory against the San Jose State Spartans, finishing 41-39. During that game, USF averaged 1.6 yards per carry, ending with 56 yards on 34 attempts. They totaled 291 yards over 70 plays, averaging 4.2 yards per play. The Bulls’ secondary permitted a completion percentage of 56.9%, yielding 280 yards on 33 completions out of 58 attempts. They allowed 161 rushing yards on 36 attempts, averaging 4.5 yards per rush.
The USF Bulls averaged 407.7 yards per game, placing them 46th in Division 1. The offense incurred 922 penalty yards due to 105 infractions, ranking them 7th nationally in assisting opponents. They averaged 180.2 rushing yards per game, gathering 2,343 yards in total. The Bulls threw 10 interceptions, lost 8 fumbles, and recorded 265 first downs. Offensively, they stood 33rd nationally, scoring an average of 32.2 points per game. The passing game totaled 2,958 yards last season, averaging 227.5 yards per game, ranking 67th in the NCAA.
Defensively, USF allowed a total of 2,057 rushing yards (158.2 yards per game) and conceded 25 rushing touchdowns, while permitting 23 passing touchdowns and averaging 278.8 passing yards per game, ranking 128th in the country. They recovered 13 fumbles and had 12 interceptions last season. The Bulls were on the field for 982 plays, placing them 130th nationally. They allowed an average of 29.8 points per game, ranking 99th in Division 1. Overall, the total points conceded were 387.
Who will triumph in this exciting college football showdown between the Broncos and Bulls?
Expert Prediction: Choose the Broncos -5.5
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