Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Forecast, 1/15/2026 Analysis and Choice

Home » Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Forecast, 1/15/2026 Analysis and Choice

  • Matchup: Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat
  • Date: Thursday, January 15, 2026
  • Venue: Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
  • Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network

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The Boston Celtics (24-15) are gearing up for an exciting away game at Kaseya Center this Thursday, where they will face off against the Miami Heat (21-19).

NBA Predictions Payton Pritchard Boston Celtics Betting Odds

In their last outing, the Celtics faced the Pacers, suffering a narrow defeat with a final score of 98-96. In terms of fouls, both teams recorded 7 each. The Celtics successfully converted 16 out of 37 attempts from beyond the arc. Meanwhile, Indiana managed to make 66.7% of their free throw attempts, hitting 4 of 6. The Pacers also secured 40 rebounds (5 offensive, 35 defensive) and blocked 1 shot. They were productive offensively, notching 29 assists and grabbing 8 steals throughout the game. On the defensive end, Boston allowed an opponent shooting percentage of 46.4%, with the Pacers making 39 out of 84 attempts. Boston recorded 22 assists, forced 12 turnovers, and made 9 steals. They collected a total of 46 rebounds, including 10 on offense, and made 77.8% of their free throw attempts, hitting 7 of 9. Overall, Boston shot 45.5% from the field, converting 40 out of 88, but struggled from three-point range, making only 9 of 35 shots.

Payton Pritchard will be a key player to watch in this matchup. He finished the last game at 45.5% shooting from the field and dished out 8 assists. Pritchard played for 37 minutes, grabbing 4 rebounds and securing a total of 23 points on 10 of 22 shooting.

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As the matchup approaches, the Celtics maintain a record of 24-15 this season. They are averaging 116.6 points per game (14th in the league) with a field goal percentage of 47.3%. From the three-point line, the Celtics hit 36.8% of their shots (612 out of 1,661) and convert 79.0% of their free throws. As a unit, Boston averages 44.5 rebounds per game and has tallied 929 assists this season, ranking 28th in the league for assists. They commit 11.9 turnovers per game and average 20.5 personal fouls.

On the defensive end, the Celtics force 13.7 turnovers nightly while committing 18.4 fouls. They rank 6th in the league for assists allowed, giving up 999 assists this season. Boston’s opponents shoot 45.0% from the field (1,514 of 3,362) while the Celtics surrender an average of 41.7 rebounds per game. Additionally, they allow 37.0% shooting from beyond the arc and currently rank 2nd in the league for points allowed per game (110.1).

In their last game, the Miami Heat secured a win against the Suns, finishing with a score of 127-121. The Heat dominated the boards with 32 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive rebounds, totaling 41 rebounds. They turned the ball over 12 times but managed to accumulate 8 steals. The Suns committed 22 fouls, leading the Heat to the free-throw line for 22 attempts, of which they successfully converted 18 for an 81.8% shooting rate. Miami excelled from the field, achieving 52.2% shooting by hitting 48 of 92 attempts and made 34.2% of their three-point shots (13 out of 38). However, they allowed the Suns to shoot 43.1% from the field, with opponents scoring 44 out of 102 attempts. Miami’s three-point defense also struggled, allowing 29.2% shooting (14 out of 48) while they made 19 out of 20 at the free throw line, posting a stellar 95.0% accuracy. On the rebounding front, Miami allowed Phoenix to collect a total of 48 rebounds, including 18 offensive boards.

Bam Adebayo starred for the Heat in this game, shooting 11 of 15 for a 73.3% accuracy rate and securing 9 rebounds. He tallied 29 points in 32 minutes of play, also contributing 4 assists.

Miami stands at a record of 21-19 for the season. Offensively, they are connecting on 47.0% from the floor, placing them 16th in the NBA. This season, the Heat have scored a total of 4,782 points, averaging 119.6 points per game, while collecting 45.5 rebounds each game. They average 28.6 assists per contest (7th in the league) but turn the ball over 14.7 times per game. Miami records an average of 19.1 personal fouls and an impressive 79.0% shooting from the free-throw line.

Defensively, Miami allows opponents to shoot 34.4% from three-point range (554 of 1,612) and allows 80.6% at the free-throw line. They permit an average of 27.2 assists and 47.4 rebounds per game, ranking them 19th and 29th, respectively, in the league. The Heat rank 22nd in points allowed per game at 117.8 and force an average of 16.1 turnovers, while allowing teams to shoot 45.9% from the field (ranking 4th in the NBA).

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s NBA showdown?

Prediction: Choose Boston

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Pick: Boston Celtics
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