Boston Red Sox at Cincinnati Reds Forecast, 3/26/2026 MLB Selections, Top Wagers & Odds

Home » Boston Red Sox at Cincinnati Reds Forecast, 3/26/2026 MLB Selections, Top Wagers & Odds

  • Game: Boston Red Sox vs Cincinnati Reds
  • Date: Thursday, March 26, 2026
  • Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH
  • TV: Reds.TV
  • Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-132) Cincinnati (+110)

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The Cincinnati Reds (83-79 last year) will try to defeat the Boston Red Sox (89-73 last season) at Great American Ball Park on Thursday. The odds on this game have the Red Sox at -132 while the Reds are sitting at +110. The total comes in at 9. The starting pitchers are Garrett Crochet and Andrew Abbott.

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As a unit, the Boston Red Sox compiled 4.9 runs per game, which was 7th in baseball. They earned a total of 786 runs and held an OBP of .324. The Red Sox tallied 324 two-baggers as a unit and smacked 186 baseballs out of the park. They recorded 748 RBI’s and 1,414 base knocks over the course of the prior season, while their team batting average came in at .254. Boston had a slugging percentage of .421 and struck out 1,419 times, while taking a walk on 518 occasions.

They had a K/BB ratio of 2.57 and the pitching staff held a collective WHIP of 1.29. Red Sox pitchers allowed 164 home runs and 676 total runs (10th in baseball). Boston yielded 1,333 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 596 earned runs. The Red Sox held a team earned run average of 3.70 last year (4th in baseball), and they struck out 1,361 hitters. Their pitching staff walked 530 opposing players and their FIP came in at 3.98 as a unit during the previous year.

Red Sox relief pitchers came into the game with runners on 160 times in addition to having 192 contests in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers tallied 86 holds for the prior year (19th in the league). The Red Sox relief pitchers compiled a save rate of 61.6% and came into the game in 161 save situations. They accumulated 45 saves last year and did not convert 28 out of their 73 save opportunities. The relievers inherited 223 base runners last year with 33.2% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Red Sox had sent 536 relief pitchers to the hill in the previous season.

The Baltimore Orioles accumulated 4,345 putouts over the course of the prior season, in addition to 1,461 assists and 116 errors. Their fielding percentage was at .985 which had them sitting 19th in pro baseball, and had a total of 131 double plays. The Red Sox turned 69.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 13,035 innings on the diamond, which had them sitting 22nd in MLB.

Crochet has thrown 424 innings and has accumulated 549 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. Crochet (27-24 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 2.91 while he has gone up against 1,725 batters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 2.95 (139 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.094. He has allowed 345 hits (7.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 119 walks.

Cincinnati had 167 home runs for the prior year in addition to 677 runs batted in. They hit 250 doubles, while taking a walk 527 times as well as putting up 716 runs. The Cincinnati Reds had an on-base percentage of .315 and a team batting average of .245 in the prior season. The Reds held a team slugging % of .391 and they were scoring 4.42 runs per contest (14th in baseball). They struck out on 1,415 occasions (9th in MLB) and recorded 1,333 hits.

The Reds finished with a team WHIP of 1.222 and had a FIP of 4.11 as a pitching staff last year. They had a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.70 (1,380 strikeouts vs 494 free passes). They had a ranking of 7th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,260. They conceded 190 home runs and they gave up 4.27 runs per 9 innings (12th in baseball). The Cincinnati pitching staff given up 681 runs over the course of last season while having an ERA of 3.86 (616 earned runs relinquished).

With 170 save situations, the Reds had 104 holds and 22 blown saves. Cincinnati had relievers enter the game in 63 save opportunities and they earned 41 saves. Their bullpen pitchers stepped onto the mound 172 times in high leverage situations in addition to 148 occasions with base runners. Cincinnati relievers had an inherited score percentage of 31.8% out of 217 inherited base runners. They ranked 9th in MLB with a save rate of 65.1%, and they sent 550 relievers to the mound last year.

In their 12,915 innings played, the Reds held a defensive efficiency of 71.1% (4th in the majors). The Cincinnati Reds had 101 double plays and held a fielding percentage of .985 (21st in the majors). The Reds recorded 1,239 assists, 87 errors and accounted for 4,305 putouts for the prior year.

Abbott (28-23 career record) has earned a 3.42 earned run average and has conceded 8.2 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.76 and he has gone up against 1,729 batters during his career. He has conceded 157 ER’s while holding a WHIP of 1.244 and a FIP of 3.4. During his pro baseball career, Abbott has allowed 375 hits while tallying 383 K’s in 413 frames.

Who will win tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Pick: Take Cincinnati (+110)

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Pick: Cincinnati Reds Forecast (+110)
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