Matchup: Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles
Scheduled Date: Wednesday, August 27, 2025
Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Broadcast: MASN
Betting Odds: Boston (-130), Baltimore (+110)
The Boston Red Sox (72-60) are set to visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards this Wednesday to clash with the Baltimore Orioles (60-71). The betting line for this contest has the Red Sox at -130, while the Orioles are positioned at +110. The over/under total for this game is established at 8. Starting on the mound are Brayan Bello and Roansy Contreras.
The Boston Red Sox are currently averaging 5.0 runs per game, placing them 4th in the league. They have scored a total of 657 runs this season and maintain an on-base percentage of .325. The team has achieved 267 doubles and hit 157 home runs, accumulating 627 RBIs and a total of 1,143 hits, leading to a batting average of .252. Their slugging percentage stands at .425, while they have struck out 1,166 times and drawn 438 walks.
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This season, the Red Sox possess a 3.72 ERA (5th in MLB) and have struck out 1,088 batters. They have surrendered 136 home runs and a total of 556 runs (14th in MLB). The pitching staff has issued 435 walks and has a team FIP of 4.04. They have allowed 1,087 hits, averaging 8.3 per nine innings, with 488 earned runs notched against them. The team’s strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.50, and their collective WHIP is 1.29.
Boston has utilized 432 relievers this season. Their bullpen has encountered 177 inherited base runners, with 31.1% scoring. They have recorded 36 saves this year, failing to convert 23 of their 59 save opportunities. The save percentage for Red Sox relievers is 61.0%, and they have been in 132 save situations. The bullpen has notched 71 holds this season (15th in MLB). The pitching staff has entered games with opponents on base 133 times and logged 161 high-pressure appearances.
The Red Sox have converted 69.2% of balls in play into outs over their 10,638 innings, ranking 22nd in MLB. In contrast, the Baltimore Orioles have accumulated 3,546 putouts, alongside 1,212 assists and have committed 100 errors this season. Their fielding percentage is .979, ranking them 29th in professional baseball, and they have successfully executed 107 double plays.
Bello has pitched 511 innings and secured 442 strikeouts throughout his career. He currently has a 4.07 ERA (allowing 231 earned runs) and holds a WHIP of 1.365. He has given up 516 hits (averaging 9.1 hits per nine innings) and issued 182 walks. Bello has a career record of 38-33 and a FIP of 4.01 while facing 2,199 opposing batters during his MLB tenure.
The Orioles boast a team slugging percentage of .405 and are scoring 4.35 runs per game (17th in MLB). They have recorded 210 doubles, drawn 368 walks, and have plated 570 runs. Baltimore has hit 159 home runs this season, while tallying 539 RBIs. They have struck out 1,137 times (9th in the league) and accumulated 1,060 hits, maintaining a team OBP of .307 and a batting average of .241.
The Orioles’ team WHIP is 1.378, and they possess a FIP of 4.45. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 8.40 (1,078 strikeouts compared to 424 walks). They rank 28th in total hits surrendered, allowing 1,170. The pitching staff has yielded 177 home runs and allows 5.00 runs per 9 innings (26th in the majors). The Baltimore pitchers have given up a total of 643 runs this season with an overall ERA of 4.69 (603 earned runs).
This season, the Baltimore bullpen has been called upon during 48 save opportunities and has achieved 31 saves. They are holding a commendable save percentage of 64.6%, ranking 8th in MLB, and have sent 440 relief pitchers to the mound so far. The bullpen has participated in 135 high-pressure scenarios and has faced base runners on 129 occasions. The inherited scoring rate for Baltimore relievers is at 25.3% of 174 inherited runners. They have achieved 87 holds along with 17 blown saves across 139 save situations.
The Orioles have turned 92 double plays this season, maintaining a fielding percentage of .985 (19th in MLB). They have completed 1,149 assists, committed 69 errors, and recorded 3,471 putouts throughout the season. Over 10,413 innings played, Baltimore’s defensive efficiency rests at 68.4% (28th in MLB).
Contreras has a career record of 10-16 with a 4.73 ERA while allowing 8.6 hits per nine innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 1.95, and he has faced 1,020 batters during his time in the MLB. He has allowed 123 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.392 and a FIP of 4.7. Over his career, Contreras has surrendered 223 hits and accumulated 201 strikeouts over 234 innings pitched.
Who is predicted to win this evening’s MLB contest against the spread or the moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Back Baltimore (+110)
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