Matchup: Boston Red Sox vs Chicago Cubs
Scheduled For: Sunday, July 20, 2025
Venue: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
Broadcasting On: Marquee Network
Betting Odds: Boston (+102), Chicago (-122)
The Chicago Cubs (57-39) will face off against the Boston Red Sox (53-45) at Wrigley Field this Sunday. The odds for this game feature the Red Sox at +102 and the Cubs at -122. The total runs over/under is set at 8. The anticipated starting pitchers are Garrett Crochet and Matthew Boyd.
This season, the Red Sox have recorded 200 doubles and hit 122 home runs. They are hitting for a slugging percentage of .433 and have struck out 877 times while drawing 319 walks. As a team, the Boston Red Sox average 5.0 runs per game, ranking them 5th in Major League Baseball. They have tallied 470 RBIs and 863 hits with a batting average of .256, scoring a total of 491 runs along with an on-base percentage (OBP) of .326.
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The Red Sox have maintained a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.54, with the pitching staff achieving a WHIP (walks plus hits per inning pitched) of 1.30. This season, the Red Sox pitchers have allowed 91 home runs and yielded a total of 430 runs (ranked 21st in MLB). They have registered 816 hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and allowed 370 earned runs, accumulating an earned run average (ERA) of 3.79 (12th in MLB). The staff has completed 822 strikeouts and issued 324 walks, with a FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) of 3.81.
In save scenarios, the Red Sox bullpen has a success rate of 59.1% from 98 opportunities. Their relief pitchers have inherited 132 base runners, with 34.1% of them scoring. In high-leverage situations, the Red Sox have had their bullpen on the mound 121 times, with a total of 318 relief appearances this season. They have managed to secure 52 holds (19th in MLB) and have recorded 26 saves out of 44 chances, but have also blown 18 save opportunities.
The Baltimore Orioles have tallied 2,636 putouts this season, alongside 908 assists and 78 errors, maintaining a fielding percentage of .978, which ranks them 29th in professional baseball, while completing 82 double plays. The Red Sox have converted 68.5% of balls in play into outs over 7,908 innings, placing them at 25th in the league.
Crochet, with a career record of 19-23, owns a FIP of 2.85 while facing 1,424 batters throughout his career. He has allowed 280 hits (7.2 hits per 9 innings) and accumulated 107 walks. Crochet’s ERA stands at 2.90 (allowing 112 earned runs) and he has a career WHIP of 1.112 over 348 innings, with 454 strikeouts.
The Cubs have recorded 142 home runs and 501 RBIs this year, hitting 166 doubles, with 331 walks and 512 runs scored. They maintain a team OBP of .325 and a batting average of .256 in 2025. The Cubs slug at a percentage of .446, averaging 5.33 runs per game (2nd in MLB). They have struck out 743 times (26th in MLB), achieving 849 hits this season.
On the pitching side, the Cubs have a team WHIP of 1.228 and a FIP of 4.20. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 7.60, reflecting 718 strikeouts to 257 walks. In terms of hits allowed, the Cubs rank 17th in the league with 793 and have surrendered 117 home runs, allowing an average of 4.14 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB). The Cubs’ pitching staff has permitted 393 runs this year, marking a team ERA of 3.84 (365 earned runs allowed).
Relievers for Chicago have been called upon in 33 save opportunities, successfully converting 23 of them, placing them 5th in the league with a save rate of 69.7%. They have utilized 315 different relief pitchers this year, with 97 appearances in high-leverage situations and 68 with runners on base. The inherited scoring rate for Cubs’ relievers stands at 30.1% out of 93 inherited runners. This season, with 94 save situations, the Cubs have achieved 58 holds and suffered 10 blown saves.
Defensively, the Chicago Cubs have completed 79 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .989 (5th in MLB). They have accumulated 813 assists, committed 38 errors, and recorded a total of 2,567 putouts throughout this season. Across 7,701 innings on the field, their defensive efficiency is at 71.2% (6th in MLB).
In his career, Boyd has allowed 991 hits while achieving 993 strikeouts over 1,019 innings. With a 56-72 career record, he holds a 4.57 ERA, permitting an average of 8.8 hits per 9 innings. He has released 518 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.283 and a FIP of 4.5. Boyd’s strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.13, having faced 4,336 batters throughout his career.
Who emerges victorious in tonight’s MLB contest against the spread or the moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Recommendation: Back Boston (+102)
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