- Matchup: Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees
- Date: Thursday, October 2, 2025
- Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
- Broadcast: ESPN
- Betting Odds: Boston (+220) New York (-275)
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At Yankee Stadium, the New York Yankees (94-68) will host the Boston Red Sox (89-73) for the second game of the AL Wild Card series on Thursday. As per the betting lines, the Red Sox are listed at +220, while the Yankees start at -275. The total runs for this matchup are set at 9. Expected starting pitchers are Connelly Early for Boston and Cam Schlittler for New York.
The Boston Red Sox are generating an average of 4.9 runs per game, placing them 7th in the league. They have scored a total of 786 runs this season, with an on-base percentage (OBP) of .324. The team has recorded 324 doubles and hit 186 home runs. They have amassed 748 runs batted in (RBIs) and a total of 1,414 hits this year, with a batting average of .254. Their slugging percentage stands at .421, while they have struck out 1,419 times and been walked 518 times.
The Red Sox’s pitching staff has a K/BB ratio of 2.57 and a combined WHIP of 1.29. This season, Boston pitchers have permitted 164 home runs and a total of 676 runs (10th in the league). They have allowed 1,333 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 596 earned runs, resulting in a team ERA of 3.70 (4th in the league). The staff has achieved 1,361 strikeouts, while walking 530 batters. Their FIP for the season stands at 3.98.
Boston relievers have inherited runners in 160 instances and faced high-leverage situations 192 times. They have secured 86 holds this season (19th in baseball) and have a save conversion rate of 61.6% from 161 save chances, with 45 successful saves and 28 blown saves. The bullpen has inherited 223 runners, with 33.2% scoring. The Red Sox have utilized 536 relief pitchers this season.
Defensively, the Red Sox have converted 69.1% of balls in play into outs across 13,035 innings, ranking 22nd in MLB. The Baltimore Orioles, in comparison, have recorded 4,345 putouts, 1,461 assists, and 116 errors, maintaining a fielding percentage of .980, which is the lowest in professional baseball, while turning 131 double plays.
Early has pitched 19 innings, registering 29 strikeouts with a career ERA of 2.36 (5 earned runs). His WHIP is 1.099, having allowed 17 hits (8.0 hits per 9 innings) and 4 walks. With a career record of 1-2, Early has a FIP of 2.32 and has faced 79 major league hitters.
On the offensive side, the Yankees boast a slugging percentage of .455 and an average of 5.24 runs per game (ranking 1st in MLB). They have hit 255 doubles and drawn 639 walks, resulting in 849 runs scored. New York has achieved 274 home runs and 820 RBIs for the season, while their strikeout total stands at 1,463 (3rd in baseball), compiling 1,371 hits. The Yankees hold a team OBP of .332 and a team batting average of .251.
The Yankees’ pitching staff has allowed 685 runs this season, resulting in a team ERA of 3.91 (625 earned runs). They have given up 175 home runs and permit 4.28 runs per 9 innings (14th in baseball). With a team WHIP of 1.248 and a FIP of 4.00, they maintain a K/BB ratio of 9.00 (1,440 strikeouts against 557 walks), ranking 4th in total hits allowed with 1,239.
New York’s relief pitchers have a save rate of 67.2%, converting 43 of 64 save opportunities, ranking 7th in MLB. They have utilized 533 relief pitchers this season, with 165 of those appearances in high-leverage situations and 167 with runners on base. Their inherited runner scoring percentage is 27.5% from 255 inherited runners, achieving 100 holds and 21 blown saves during 166 save scenarios.
The New York Yankees have executed 105 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (24th in professional baseball). They have 1,389 assists, 94 errors, and 4,319 putouts this season, achieving a defensive efficiency of 70.8% over 12,957 innings (6th in professional baseball).
Throughout his career, Schlittler has yielded 58 hits and secured 84 strikeouts across 73 innings. He holds a 2.96 ERA with a career record of 4-3, allowing 7.2 hits per 9 innings and 24 earned runs, along with a WHIP of 1.219 and a FIP of 2.9. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.71 after facing 304 hitters in his career.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Choose Boston (+220)
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