- Matchup: Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees
- Date: Tuesday, September 30, 2025
- Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
- Television: ESPN
- Betting Odds: Boston (+162) New York (-196)
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As the American League Wild Card series kicks off, the Boston Red Sox (89-73) are gearing up to face off against the New York Yankees (94-68) at famed Yankee Stadium. The betting lines indicate Boston at +110 and New York at -130, with an overall game total set at 7. The starting pitchers anticipated for this matchup are Garrett Crochet and Max Fried.
Overall, the Boston Red Sox are averaging 4.9 runs per game, ranking 7th in Major League Baseball. With a total of 786 runs scored and an on-base percentage of .324, the Red Sox have achieved 324 doubles and hit 186 home runs this season. They have notched 748 RBIs along with 1,414 hits, culminating in a team batting average of .254. Boston’s slugging percentage stands at .421, with 1,419 strikeouts and 518 walks recorded this season.
In terms of pitching, the Red Sox have a K/BB ratio of 2.57 and a collective WHIP of 1.29. Their pitching squad has allowed 164 home runs and 676 runs, placing them 10th in MLB. Boston has given up 1,333 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 596 earned runs, holding a team ERA of 3.70 (4th in the league) and striking out 1,361 batters. The team’s walk rate stands at 530, and their FIP is 3.98.
This season, the Red Sox relievers have faced runners on base 160 times with 192 appearances in critical situations. The bullpen has achieved 86 holds (ranked 19th) with a save rate of 61.6%, having secured 45 saves despite 28 blown opportunities. Overall, 33.2% of inherited runners have scored, and 536 relievers have been utilized this year.
On the defensive front, the Red Sox have recorded 4,345 putouts, 1,461 assists, and 116 errors, maintaining a fielding percentage of .980, which ranks 30th in professional baseball. They have completed 131 double plays this season, making 69.1% of balls in play into outs across 13,035 innings, positioning them 22nd in the majors.
Garrett Crochet has pitched 424 innings, amassing 549 strikeouts in his MLB journey. With a career win-loss record of 27-24, he carries a FIP of 2.91 and has faced 1,725 batters. His ERA stands at 2.95 (139 earned runs), with a WHIP of 1.094, allowing 345 hits (7.3 hits per 9 innings) and issuing 119 walks.
Meanwhile, the New York Yankees have tallied 274 home runs and 820 RBIs this season. They have also achieved 255 doubles, with 639 walks and 849 total runs, giving them a team on-base percentage of .332 and a batting average of .251. The Yankees boast a slugging percentage of .455 and score an impressive 5.24 runs per game, leading MLB. They’ve recorded 1,463 strikeouts (3rd in MLB) and secured 1,371 hits.
New York’s pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.248 and a FIP of 4.00 this season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.00 (1,440 strikeouts to 557 walks), placing them 4th in MLB for hits allowed, with 1,239. They have surrendered 175 home runs and allow an average of 4.28 runs per 9 innings, ranking 14th in the league. The Yankees’ ERA for the year is 3.91, with 625 earned runs given up.
In high-leverage situations, the Yankees’ bullpen has an inherited score percentage of 27.5% from 255 inherited runners. Their relievers have entered the game 165 times in critical moments and 167 times with runners on base, recording 100 holds and 21 blown saves in 166 save opportunities. Their save percentage ranks 7th at 67.2%, utilizing 533 total bullpen pitchers this season, with 43 saves acquired from 64 save chances.
On the field, the Yankees have a defensive efficiency of 70.8% over 12,957 innings (6th in professional baseball). They have completed 105 double plays and hold a yearly fielding percentage of .984 (24th in the league). The Yankees have gathered 1,389 assists, 94 errors, and achieved 4,319 putouts this season.
Max Fried holds a career record of 92-41 with a 3.04 ERA, allowing 7.9 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.54, having faced 4,415 opposing batters. Fried has given up a total of 364 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.153 and a FIP of 3.0. Throughout his MLB career, he has given up 947 hits while achieving 1,052 strikeouts over 1,079 innings.
Who will clinch the victory in today’s MLB face-off against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Boston (+162)
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