Matchup: Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies
Date: Tuesday, July 22, 2025
Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Broadcast: NBC Sports Philadelphia
Betting Odds: Boston (+110) Philadelphia (-130)
On Tuesday, the Philadelphia Phillies (56-43) aim to secure a victory over the Boston Red Sox (54-47) at Citizens Bank Park. The odds for this contest feature the Red Sox at +110 and the Phillies at -130, with an over/under of 8.5 runs. Starting pitchers for this game are expected to be Richard Fitts and Cristopher Sanchez.
The Boston Red Sox are averaging 4.9 runs per game, ranking them 5th in the league. They have accumulated 498 runs and hold a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .325. The Red Sox have recorded 203 doubles and hit 125 home runs this season, amassing 477 RBIs and 883 hits with a batting average of .254. Their slugging percentage stands at .430, with 904 strikeouts and 329 walks.
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The Red Sox currently possess a team ERA of 3.79, placing them 11th in MLB, and they have struck out 842 batters this season. Their pitchers have allowed 97 home runs and a total of 441 runs (21st in baseball). Boston’s staff has issued 331 walks, yielding a FIP of 3.86. They have given up 841 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and allowed 381 earned runs, boasting a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.54 and a WHIP of 1.30.
Boston’s relief pitchers have faced situations with runners on base 99 times, appearing in 122 high-leverage scenarios. This season, they have earned 53 holds, ranking 18th in MLB, and have a save percentage of 59.1% with 26 saves from 44 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 135 base runners, with 34.1% scoring. In total, the Red Sox have dispatched 325 relief pitchers this year.
Defensively, the Red Sox have converted 68.5% of balls in play into outs over 7,908 innings, ranking 25th in professional baseball. The Baltimore Orioles stand at 2,636 putouts, with 908 assists and 78 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .978 (29th) and 82 double plays.
Richard Fitts has pitched 53 innings in his career, recording 37 strikeouts. With a career record of 1-4, he has a FIP of 3.32 facing 228 batters, an ERA of 3.37, and a WHIP of 1.255. He has given up 50 hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) and issued 17 walks.
The Philadelphia Phillies hold a slugging percentage of .405, averaging 4.59 runs per game (11th in MLB). They have achieved 157 doubles, walked 343 times, and scored 454 runs. The team has hit 108 home runs and tallied 432 RBIs while striking out 786 times (21st in the league) and collecting 855 hits. Their OBP is .328, and batting average stands at .255 this season.
With a team WHIP of 1.265, the Phillies have a FIP of 3.62. They sit 17th in total hits allowed, surrendering 824 hits, and have given up 394 runs with an ERA of 3.73 (365 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio is an impressive 9.30 (908 strikeouts vs. 289 walks), allowing 102 home runs, giving up 4.03 runs per 9 innings (8th in baseball).
The Philadelphia bullpen has a score percentage of 34.0% from 94 inherited runners. They’ve been called into high-leverage situations 102 times and faced 63 occasions with runners on base. In 90 save chances, the Phillies have recorded 45 holds and experienced 17 blown saves. With a save percentage of 61.4%, they have used 305 relievers throughout the season, converting 27 out of 44 save opportunities.
Defensively, the Philadelphia Phillies have turned 66 double plays and boast a fielding percentage of .989 (4th in baseball). The team has recorded 831 assists, 36 errors, and 2,560 putouts over 7,680 innings, achieving a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (23rd in professional baseball).
As for Cristopher Sanchez, across his career, he has given up 423 hits and has tallied 419 strikeouts in 448 innings pitched. With a career record of 25-18, he holds a 3.39 ERA and allows 8.5 hits per nine innings pitched. He has surrendered 169 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.203 and a FIP of 3.3. His K/BB ratio is 3.61 after facing 1,856 batters.
Who will come out on top in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Back Boston (+110)
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