Matchup: Boston Red Sox vs San Diego Padres
Date: Sunday, August 10, 2025
Venue: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Broadcast: Padres.TV
Betting Odds: Boston (+110) San Diego (-130)
This Sunday, the San Diego Padres (64-51) are set to host the Boston Red Sox (64-52) at Petco Park. The current odds show the Red Sox at +110, while the Padres are favored at -130, with an over/under of 8 runs. The expected starting pitchers for this matchup are Brayan Bello and Dylan Cease.
As a collective, the Boston Red Sox are averaging 5.0 runs per game, ranking 5th in Major League Baseball. They have scored a total of 577 runs, boasting an on-base percentage (OBP) of .323. The team has hit 239 doubles and launched 141 home runs, contributing to 554 RBIs and accumulating 1,010 hits this season. Their batting average stands at .254, and they hold a slugging percentage of .430, while striking out 1,033 times and drawing walks on 367 occasions.
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The Red Sox have a team ERA of 3.72 this season, ranking 7th in the league, with their pitchers striking out a total of 960 batters. They have surrendered 118 home runs and allowed 496 runs overall (15th in MLB). This season, they have walked 379 batters, and their Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) stands at 3.99. Boston’s pitching staff has permitted 968 hits so far (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has recorded 430 earned runs, maintaining a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.53 and a collective WHIP of 1.30.
Boston’s bullpen has achieved a save percentage of 59.3% in 120 save opportunities. They have inherited 154 runners, with 31.8% scoring. This season, Red Sox pitchers have faced opponents on base 117 times, with 143 instances in high-leverage situations. The Red Sox have utilized 379 relief pitchers this year, securing 64 holds (16th in MLB). They have converted 32 saves from 54 chances while blowing 22 saves.
The Red Sox have recorded 3,120 putouts along with 1,067 assists and 93 errors. Their fielding percentage is .978, ranking 30th in baseball, with a total of 97 double plays. The Red Sox have converted 68.8% of balls in play into outs over 9,360 innings, placing them 26th in the league.
Bello has pitched 492 innings in his career, amassing 428 strikeouts. His career ERA is 4.10 (allowing 224 earned runs) with a WHIP of 1.384. He has allowed 503 hits (9.2 hits per nine innings) and issued 178 walks. Bello holds a career record of 36-32, with a FIP of 4.03 while facing 2,127 batters in the majors.
The Padres, on the other hand, have a team slugging percentage of .382 and an average of 4.14 runs per game (24th in MLB). They have 177 doubles, have drawn 367 walks, and scored 476 runs. San Diego has launched 98 home runs this season, while collecting 447 RBIs. They have struck out 807 times (28th in the league) and have 966 total hits. Their team OBP is .320, and their batting average is .251 for the year.
San Diego’s pitching staff has given up 438 runs this season, with an ERA of 3.58 (surrendering 404 earned runs). They have allowed 113 home runs and given up 3.88 runs per 9 innings (3rd in MLB). The Padres hold a team WHIP of 1.208 and a FIP of 3.88 for the season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 8.70 (978 strikeouts versus 373 walks), making them the top pitching staff in MLB for total hits allowed at 856.
With 135 save opportunities, the Padres have achieved 79 holds and 14 blown saves. San Diego’s relievers have been called upon for 53 save chances, successfully converting 39 saves. In high-pressure situations, their relievers have made 163 appearances, with 134 situations involving base runners. The Padres’ bullpen has a percentage of 28.6% for inherited score percentage out of 189 inherited base runners. They are 2nd in MLB with a save percentage of 73.6%, calling upon 405 relievers this season.
The San Diego Padres have turned 89 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in MLB). They have achieved 880 assists, committed 54 errors, and recorded 3,051 putouts this year. Their defensive efficiency is at 71.5% (2nd in MLB) across 9,153 innings played.
Cease (61-56 career record) has a 3.86 ERA and allows 7.6 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.89 and has faced 4,111 batters in his career. He has given up 416 earned runs, possesses a WHIP of 1.259, and has a FIP of 3.8. Throughout his career, Cease has allowed 814 hits while recording 1,178 strikeouts in 970 innings pitched.
Who will claim victory in tonight’s matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Selection: Back Boston (+110)
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