- Game: Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners
- Date: Monday, June 16, 2025
- Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA
- TV: Root Sports Northwest
- Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+102) Seattle (-122)
The Seattle Mariners, currently at 33-34, will face off against the Boston Red Sox, sitting at 34-36, at T-Mobile Park this coming Monday. Betting odds place Boston at +102 and Seattle at -122, with an over/under set at 9 runs. The starting pitchers for the matchup will be Lucas Giolito for the Red Sox and Logan Gilbert for the Mariners.
This season, the Red Sox have recorded 136 doubles and smashed 88 home runs. Their slugging percentage stands at .426, with a total of 650 strikeouts and 241 walks. Averaging 4.9 runs per game, they currently rank 5th in Major League Baseball. They’ve accumulated 331 RBIs and 623 hits across the season, boasting a batting average of .255 and 345 runs scored, alongside a .328 on-base percentage.
On the pitching front, the Red Sox’s team ERA is 4.08, placing them 21st in the league, with a total of 587 strikeouts. Their pitching staff has allowed 70 home runs and 327 runs, ranking 23rd overall. With 234 walks issued, their FIP stands at 3.92. In terms of hits allowed, the Red Sox have given up 611 (8.7 per nine innings) and 286 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.51, with a WHIP of 1.34.
This season, Boston’s bullpen has a save conversion rate of 54.8%, participating in 65 save situations, with 31.5% of inherited runners scoring. The relievers have entered games with runners on base 70 times and have 91 high-pressure appearances. With 232 pitchers making relief appearances, the Red Sox bullpen has only 32 holds, placing them 26th in MLB with 17 saves against 31 opportunities.
Defensively, the Red Sox have made 1,891 putouts, 637 assists, and 61 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .976, which ranks them last in the league. They’ve successfully turned 62 double plays and converted 67.5% of balls in play into outs, sitting at 29th in MLB with 5,673 innings played.
Lucas Giolito, with a career record of 63-63, has a FIP of 4.41 from facing 4,433 batters. He has given up 933 hits (8.0 hits per nine innings) with 399 walks and holds an ERA of 4.47 after allowing 523 earned runs and mainating a WHIP of 1.266. Over his career, Giolito has pitched 1,052 innings and tallied 1,108 strikeouts.
The Seattle Mariners have hit 87 home runs this season, accumulating 282 RBIs and 85 doubles. They’ve walked 239 times and scored 291 runs, projecting a team on-base percentage of .320 and a batting average of .241. The Mariners’ slugging percentage is .396, which correlates to their average of 4.34 runs per game, ranking 14th in baseball. They’ve also struck out 601 times, putting them 7th in the league, with a total of 553 hits recorded.
On the mound, the Mariners have allowed 305 runs this year, holding a team ERA of 4.06 with 274 earned runs surrendered. They’ve given up 78 home runs and maintain a rate of 4.52 runs per nine innings (20th in MLB). Their WHIP stands at 1.333, with a team FIP of 4.12. The strikeout-to-walk ratio checks in at 8.10 (544 strikeouts to 209 walks), ranking 25th in total hits allowed with 600.
The Mariners’ bullpen has 65 save situations this year, totaling 34 holds and 12 blown saves. They have been utilized by management 31 times in save occasions, successfully converting 19 of them. Their relief pitchers have appeared in 95 high-leverage situations, with base runners present in 51 distinct outings. They rank 19th in save percentage at 61.3%, having called upon 228 relief pitchers this season.
Defensively, the Mariners have executed 56 double plays this season, amassing a fielding percentage of .989, placing them 5th in MLB. With 585 assists and 27 errors, they have also accumulated 1,821 putouts throughout 5,463 innings, achieving a defensive efficiency rate of 69.0%, which ranks 21st in the majors.
Logan Gilbert, holding a career record of 42-31, has permitted 617 hits and recorded 755 strikeouts across 734 innings. With a solid ERA of 3.55, he has given up 7.6 hits per nine innings and allowed 290 earned runs. He holds a WHIP of 1.053 and a FIP of 3.50, alongside a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 4.84 throughout his professional career, facing 2,959 hitters so far.
Who will emerge victoriously in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or the moneyline?
Pick: Boston (+102)
